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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: Japan's Q2 Factory Output Posts 4th Straight Rise
Japan's industrial production for the April-June period posted the fourth straight quarterly rise but the outlook is expected to slow as production will be weighed down by lingering shortages of semiconductors.
Industrial production rose 1.0% q/q in the second quarter following +2.9% in the first quarter and +5.7% in the fourth quarter of 2020. June industrial production rose 6.2% m/m for the first rise in two months following -6.5% in May.
The government's assessment from the previous month was unchanged, noting "industrial production is recovering". It sees production falling 1.1% (revised up from -1.4%) in July before rising 1.7% in August. Adjusting for the upward bias in output plans, the forecast production would fall 2.2% m/m in July. Based on this assumption, and September flat, Q3 production would fall 1.1% q/q for the first drop in five quarters.
Industrial output remains a key piece of data for BOJ economists to assess the outlook, as it reflects both external and domestic demand, with the BOJ keeping to a view that industrial production and exports have increased.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.