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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: Kashkari Says Mkt Bets on Rate Cut Very Unlikely
Investor bets the Fed will turn to interest-rate cuts next year seem very unlikely to pan out because the focus has to remain on inflation rather than worries about a recession, Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday.
“The more likely scenario is we would continue raising and then we would sit there, until we have a lot of confidence that inflation is well on its way back down to 2% before we would start to cut,” he said during a talk at Columbia University. It could take several years for inflation to come back down, he said.
The Fed probably hiked too slowly he said, though the global nature of the price jump means going sooner may not have completely succeeded. “It’s concerning that it’s spreading across the economy and it just means that we have do have to continue to act with urgency,” he said. “We are laser focused on getting inflation down. Whether we are technically in a recession right now or not doesn’t change my analysis.” (See: MNI: Recession Could Force Fed To End QT Early - Ex Officials)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.