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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: RBA Rate Hikes Subdue Aussie Inflation Expectations
Melbourne Institute survey suggests consumer pay and price expectations weighed by RBA hikes.
Australian consumer inflation expectations continue to moderate in the wake of the Reserve Bank of Australia's 6 consecutive rate hikes, according to the Melbourne Institute survey released Thursday, with the outlooks for both pay and prices over the coming year stabilising. The Survey of Consumer Inflationary and Wage Expectations showed the expected inflation rate steady at 5.4% in October, while total pay was expected to grow by 0.9% over the next 12 months. Inflation expectations peaked at 6.7% in June.
The RBA said medium-term inflation expectations "remain well anchored" in its Oct 4 statement, while delivering a smaller-than-expected 25bp hike to 2.6% (see MNI STATE OF PLAY: RBA Taps Brakes, Sees Slower Pace Of Hikes). While the RBA's Monetary Policy Statement forecast inflation of 7.75% by the end of the year, there have been signs inflation pressures may be easing. The monthly Consumer Price Index indicator eased to 6.8% in August, down from 7% in July, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
September quarter CPI is released on October 26 -- along with the first in step release of the new monthly series -- a week before the RBA's November 1 meeting where it is expected to raise rates 25bp. Further insight into the RBA's thinking will come from the release of October's board minutes and a speech by Deputy Governor Michele Bullock on October 18.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.