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MNI BRIEF: UK Budget Set To Be Fiscal Easing, Hamper Rate Cuts
MNI (LONDON) - The UK Budget, set to be unveiled on Oct 30, will be a net fiscal giveaway with policy looser than in the Spring Budget and it will entail that the Bank of England will not cut interest rates as quickly, according to analysis by the Resolution Foundation (RF) think-tank.
RF said the Budget, the new Labour Government's first, would see fiscal easing because the previous plans set out by the former Conservative government for spending constraints were exceptionally tight and Labour would not achieve them.
Using OBR and BOE ready reckoners, an extra GBP10 billion of current spending and GBP30 billion of investment spending in the Budget would push up inflation by 0.6 percentage points and require the BOE to leave its policy rate one percentage point higher than it otherwise would have done to fully offset the effect, according to RF.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.