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MNI BSP Preview - May 2024: Still On Hold

BSP

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The BSP is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 6.50% at tomorrow’s policy meeting. This is the broad sell-side consensus. Our firm bias is also with the status quo. The policy rate has been at 6.50% since October last year.
  • Headline inflation remains near the top end of the forecast band, and while domestic growth is cooling, it is likely too early for the central bank to shift in a dovish direction on this basis.
  • Broader sell-side views see the BSP easing cycle commencing late in 2024/early 2025.
  • Click to view the full preview here:
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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

  • The BSP is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 6.50% at tomorrow’s policy meeting. This is the broad sell-side consensus. Our firm bias is also with the status quo. The policy rate has been at 6.50% since October last year.
  • Headline inflation remains near the top end of the forecast band, and while domestic growth is cooling, it is likely too early for the central bank to shift in a dovish direction on this basis.
  • Broader sell-side views see the BSP easing cycle commencing late in 2024/early 2025.
  • Click to view the full preview here: