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MNI CBRT Review - March 2025: Another 250bp Step

The CBRT cut its one-week repo rate by another 250bps to 42.50%.

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Executive summary:

  • The CBRT delivered another 250bp rate cut, taking the one-week repo rate to 42.50%.
  • The accompanying policy statement maintained the “meeting-by-meeting” guidance while acknowledging the progress made in tackling inflation.
  • Among sell-side, analysts generally do not expect the 250bp/meeting easing pace to be sustained throughout the entirety of the year.

Another 250bp rate cut had been widely anticipated this month following the below-consensus inflation print in February.As a reminder, annual inflation eased to 39% in February, the lowest level in 20 months, supporting policymakers’ case for continued rate cuts. Guidance in the policy statement continues to indicate that easing will be the status quo at upcoming meetings, but a small tweak in language (this month’s statement says “The Committee will adjust the policy rate prudently on a meeting-by-meeting basis” compared to “The Committee will make its decisions prudently”) may suggest that central bank stands ready to scale down the size of rate cuts. 

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Download The Full Report Here

Executive summary:

  • The CBRT delivered another 250bp rate cut, taking the one-week repo rate to 42.50%.
  • The accompanying policy statement maintained the “meeting-by-meeting” guidance while acknowledging the progress made in tackling inflation.
  • Among sell-side, analysts generally do not expect the 250bp/meeting easing pace to be sustained throughout the entirety of the year.

Another 250bp rate cut had been widely anticipated this month following the below-consensus inflation print in February.As a reminder, annual inflation eased to 39% in February, the lowest level in 20 months, supporting policymakers’ case for continued rate cuts. Guidance in the policy statement continues to indicate that easing will be the status quo at upcoming meetings, but a small tweak in language (this month’s statement says “The Committee will adjust the policy rate prudently on a meeting-by-meeting basis” compared to “The Committee will make its decisions prudently”) may suggest that central bank stands ready to scale down the size of rate cuts.