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MNI Chicago Business Barometer Surges to 32-Month High

US DATA
MNI (London)

MNI CHICAGO BUSINESS BAROMETER 66.3 MAR VS 59.5 FEB

MNI CHICAGO: PRODUCTION SHOWED LARGEST M/M INCREASE

MNI CHICAGO: SUPPLIER DELIVERIES AT HIGHEST SINCE APR 1974

MNI CHICAGO: EMPLOYMENT AT HIGHEST SINCE AUG 2018

  • The Chicago Business Barometer rose to 66.3 in Mar, stronger than expectations (BBG: 61.0) and marking the highest level since Jul 2018.
  • The CBB jumped to the highest level since Q3 2018 on a quarterly basis, rising 4.4pt to 63.2 in Q1.
  • Mar's uptick was driven by a sharp increase of Production (72.0), followed by Supplier Deliveries (79.9) which surged to the highest level since Apr 1974 due the ongoing supply chain disruptions.
  • New Orders (62.3) gained 7.1pt, while Employment (54.6) shifted back to expansion territory for the first time since Jun 2019.
  • Order Backlogs was the only major category to register a decline in Mar, down 6pt to 57.0.
  • Inventories increased to 55.6, its strongest reading since Oct 2018, following Feb's decline.
  • Prices rose for the seventh successive month, ticking up 5.2pt to 80.4, with firms noting higher prices for raw materials due to supply chain issues.
  • Anecdotal evidence indicate severe delivery delays due to logistical issues throughout Q1, including port and transit issues.
  • The majority of respondents, at 67.6%, plan to change their inventory levels due to supplier lead-times.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3814 | irene.prihoda@marketnews.com

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