Free Trial

MNI China Daily Summary: Friday, August 4

     TOPS NEWS: China's regulators need to control the strength of deleveraging
while the economy still faces downturn pressures due to the deteriorating real
estate sector and uncertain global market, the People's Daily said in a
commentary on Friday, citing Lian Ping, the chief economist of Bank of
Communications. Regulators should focus on the structure of leverage, given the
high leverage ratio of the non-financial sector, Lian noted. He also warned that
the leverage ratio of state-owned enterprises -- particularly so-called zombie
companies -- is much higher than private enterprises. Although interbank and
off-balance-sheet transactions in the financial sector have expanded rapidly,
the effects of the government's deleveraging campaign can be seen, as both
interbank assets and liabilities have had clear shrinkage, Lian added. (People's
Daily)
     TOP NEWS: The People's Bank of China injected CNY90 billion in seven-day
reverse repos and CNY30 billion in 14-day reverse repos via open-market
operations Friday, Wind Information, a Shanghai-based financial data provider,
said. This resulted in a net drain of CNY20 billion for the day, as a total of
CNY140 billion in reverse repos matured on Friday. The PBOC has drained a total
of CNY40 billion at its open-market operations this week. The CFETS-ICAP
money-market sentiment index ended at 33 on Thursday, compared with 38 at
Wednesday's close. The lower the reading, the better the liquidity in the
interbank market.
     RATES: Money market rates were down on Friday. The seven-day repo average
was last at 2.7839% Friday, lower than Thursday's average of 2.8754%. The
overnight repo average was at 2.6697%, lower than Thursday's 2.7819%.
     RATES: The Ministry of Finance sold CNY10 billion in 91-day treasury bills
at a yield of 2.9239% in an auction on Friday. The yield was lower than 2.9574%
for bonds with the same maturity in the secondary market on Thursday.
     YUAN: The yuan rose against the U.S. dollar Friday after the People's Bank
of China set a stronger daily fixing. The yuan was last at 6.7187 against the
U.S. unit, 0.07% stronger than the official closing price of 6.7233 on Thursday.
The People's Bank of China set the yuan central parity rate against the U.S.
dollar at 6.7132 on Friday, compared with Thursday's 6.7211. Friday's fixing was
the strongest since Oct. 11, when it was 6.7098.
     BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China government bonds was last at
3.7964%, up from the previous close of 3.7215%, according to Wind, a financial
data provider.
     STOCKS: Stocks fell on Friday, led lower by the coal and non-ferrous metal
sectors. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed 0.33% lower at 3,262.08.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was 0.03% higher at 27,540.53.
     FROM THE PRESS: The net drain in liquidity that occurred over the last two
days via the central bank's open market-operations does not mean its "neither
tight nor loose" monetary policy has changed, the Financial News, a journal run
by the People's Bank of China, reported Friday, citing analysts. Liquidity
pressure in August will be less than it was in July, given greater fiscal
expenditures and fewer tax payments by corporations, the report said, adding
that falling demand for foreign exchange purchases will also contribute to the
stable liquidity situation. The strengthening yuan exchange rate is a positive
influence on liquidity, the report noted. (Financial News)
     Shanghai and Beijing are leading the way in changes to spending patterns,
with consumer spending now more geared toward "development and enjoyment" rather
than toward daily living expenses, as consumption increasingly contributes a
larger share to China's GDP, the 21st Century Business Herald reported Friday.
According to the newspaper, the top 10 cities in terms of consumption are
Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing, Chengdu, Wuhan, Tianjin, Shenzhen,
Nanjing and Hangzhou. The development of the internet and mobile communications
has resulted in different methods of consumption in Shanghai and Beijing --
creating new business models and opportunities. Guangzhou maintains its strength
as a commercial and trade capital, the newspaper said. Central and western
China, where Chengdu and Wuhan are located, enjoy fewer "pressures" compared
with Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and with strong purchasing
power, they are also the main battlefield for consumption upgrades. (21st
Century Business Herald)
     The exchange rates of significant world currencies appear to be returning
to levels seen earlier and will enter an "adjustment and stabilizing period,"
the Economic Information Daily, a newspaper under Xinhua News Agency, said in a
Friday front-page commentary. The foreign-exchange market has digested the
effects of black-swan events such as Brexit and Donald Trump's victory in the
U.S. election, the commentary said, and the U.S. dollar has fallen 10% compared
with its high point over the past 12 months. The sterling and euro have
strengthened, and the trend of the yuan is balanced, it said. The dollar's
depreciation can be regarded as a "self examination" by the foreign-exchange
market and a correction of an overestimation of the spillover effects of the
U.S. Federal Reserve's interest-rate rise and Trump's fiscal reforms, the
commentary said. Since the start of this year China's foreign-exchange market
has been smooth, the yuan exchange rate is balanced and the economy has remained
resilient with potential. Strong fundamentals will continue to support a stable
yuan in the international currency system, the commentary said. (Economic
Information Daily)
     Steadily reducing banks' reliance on local-government bond sales is
important, the Securities Times said Friday in a front-page commentary. Since
July, China has been experimenting with allowing individual investors to
purchase local-government bonds directly -- this can disperse risks for the
banking system, the commentary said. However, it added, the main buyers of these
bonds are still commercial banks -- which means the capital source is still
banks. A better system to meet the capital needs of local governments is
important to China's future economic growth and stability, the newspaper said.
It also recommended increasing transparency of local-government financing and
making full use of market forces. (The Securities Times)
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: vince.morkri@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.