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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Tuesday, October 13
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) skipped open market operations on Tuesday. This resulted in a net drain of CNY100 billion given the maturity of CNY100 billion of reverse repos, according to Wind Information. The liquidity in the banking system is at a reasonable and ample level, the PBOC said on its website.
DATA: Exports accelerated 9.9% y/y to $239.76 billion in September, marking the fourth consecutive monthly rise. Exports declined 0.8% y/y over the first three quarters, narrower than the 2.3% y/y drop in the year-ago period. Imports surged by 13.2% y/y to $202.76 billion in September as against a 2.1% fall in the year-ago period. It is the biggest increase so far this year and above market expectations. Year to date, imports fell 3.1% y/y, slower than the 5.2% y/y decline reported in Jan-Aug.
RATES: The seven-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository institutions (DR007) increased to 2.0456% from 1.9644% on Monday, Wind Information showed. The overnight repo average rose to 1.6981% from the previous 1.5065%.
YUAN: The currency weakened to 6.7385 against the dollar from 6.7358 on Monday. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate higher at 6.7296, compared with 6.7126 on Monday.
BONDS: The yield on the 10-year China Government Bond was last at 3.1875%, up from the close of 3.1725% on Monday, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04% to 3,359.75, while the CSI300 index edged up 0.33% to 4,839.20. Hong Kong stock market is closed for today.
FROM THE PRESS: The yuan's long-term appreciation may be dampened after the PBOC this week removed forex risk reserves for banks, a measure which encouraged yuan transactions, the Securities Daily reported on Tuesday citing Lian Ping, an economist from Zhixin Fund. Both onshore and offshore yuan rates dropped on the first day after the announcement. The PBOC may consider cutting countercyclical factors if the yuan continues to gain in the near term, thus avoiding one-way expectations and negative impacts on the export sector, Lian said. He said the FX risk reserve cuts should help businesses to counter currency risks using forward FOREX trading.
China will continue with stable economic reform measures such as tax and fee cuts, boosts to consumption, and the opening-up of markets to ensure growth goals are met this year, Premier Li Keqiang told provincial governors on Monday, according to a press statement. Li stressed fiscal funds must be channeled to small businesses in difficulties, and any arbitrary charges and tax burdens should be forbidden. China should find new growth drivers in consumption and provide a suitable business environment to enhance market vitality, while ensuring the smooth operation of industrial chains to further support market opening and boost foreign trade and investments.
China should encourage foreign investments in its securities markets to maintain the future balance of payments, China Securities Journal reported citing economist Zhang Anyuan. The current trade surplus alone cannot sustain the balance of payments, which could come under pressure once overseas travel resumes, said Zhang, an economist with China Securities. China should also contain leverage ratios, such as promoting equity financing, given the fact that these real economic channels have risen 21 percentage points in H1, Zhang said.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.