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MNI CNB Preview - March 2021: To Steer Clear of Further CZK Strength

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MNICNBPrevMar21.pdf

CNB seen on hold, policymakers will want to avoid the risk of further CZK strength

The Czech National Bank is expected to keep their benchmark rate, the discount rate and the Lombard rate steady at 0.25%, 0.05% and 1%, respectively. Even though the progress in the vaccination campaign in many developed countries has increased hopes for a recovery in H2 2021, restrictions remain elevated in many core European nations and are expected to be lifted very gradually. Therefore, raising interest rates too soon could weigh on growth expectations.

Figure 1: Czech inflation vs. CNB forecast

Source: MNI/CNB/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3809 | edward.hardy@marketnews.com

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