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MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI DATA ANALYSIS:Forgn Investors Cut Cdn Gov Bonds,Add Corps>
By Yali N'Diaye
OTTAWA (MNI) - Foreign investment in Canadian securities rose C$6.1
billion in March, with a focus on money market instruments and private
corporate bonds, data released by Statistics Canada showed Thursday.
Meanwhile, Canadian investors cut their foreign securities holdings
by C$1.9 billion, as a C$10.5 billion divestment in equity and
investment fund shares outweighed debt investments (C$8.6 billion).
For the first quarter, foreign investment in Canadian securities
was C$18.3 billion, the smallest since the third quarter 2015.
Securities transactions generated a net outflow of funds from the
economy of C$1.7 billion after eight consecutive quarters of net
inflows.
-- FEDERAL GOVERNMENT DIVESTMENT
Foreign investors divested a record C$13.6 billion in federal
government bonds, mostly through sales of short-term bonds with a
maturity of five years or less on the secondary market. The divestment
also reflected retirements.
Instead, foreign investors increased exposure to the short term of
the Canadian curve with a C$6.3 billion investment in money market
instruments.
Total debt investment was up C$5.6 billion.
--NON-CAD CORPORATES
Foreign investors also increased their holdings of Canadian private
corporate bonds by C$11.3 billion, the largest investment since October
2017, with a preference for euro-denominated bonds.
The focus on euro-denominated corporate bonds was consistent with a
general preference for non-US bonds within foreign currency denominated
bonds.
Overall, foreign investors divested C$0.7 billion in Canadian
bonds, with an C$11.2 billion divestment in Canadian dollar-denominated
securities. Within foreign currency bonds, there was a C$12.2 billion
investment in non-US denominated bonds and a C$1.7 divestment in US
dollar-denominated bonds.
--LITTLE EQUITY INTEREST
On the equity side, foreign investment in Canadian shares was just
C$0.7 billion in March.
Canadian investors were even less interested in foreign equities,
with a C$10.5 billion divestment in equity and investment fund shares,
the largest divestment since January 2016. Canadian investors cut U.S.
holdings by a record C$7.4 billion and non-US holdings by C$3.1 billion,
the largest divestment since April 2017.
On the debt front, Canadian investors added exposure to foreign
debt as their holdings increased by C$8.6 billion, the largest
investment since December 2014, favoring both non-US bonds (C$3.7
billion) and U.S. corporates (C$2.4 billion).
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yndiaye@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MACDS$,M$C$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.