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MNI DATA FORECASTS: 2023 Sees Busy Start; US Jobs Report Eyed

(MNI) LONDON

Forecasts for the coming week's main data releases.

True

Date	GMT/Local	Impact	Period	Flag	Country	Release	Prior	Consensus
31/12/2022	0130/0930	***	Dec		CN	CFLP Manufacturing PMI	48.0	48.3
31/12/2022	0130/0930	**	Dec		CN	CFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI	46.7	46.5
02/01/2023	0815/0915	**	Dec		ES	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	45.7	45.8
02/01/2023	0845/0945	**	Dec		IT	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.4	48.6
02/01/2023	0850/0950	**	Dec		FR	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.9	48.9
02/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Dec		DE	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	47.4	47.4
02/01/2023	0900/1000	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	47.8	47.8
03/01/2023	2200/0900	**	Dec		AU	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	50.4	--
03/01/2023	0145/0945	**	Dec		CN	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	49.4	49.1
03/01/2023	0700/0200	*	Dec		TR	CPI m/m	2.88	66.7	%
03/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Jan		DE	Unemployment Change m/m	17.0	15
03/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Jan		DE	Unemployment Rate	5.6	5.6	%
03/01/2023	0900/1000	***	Dec		DE	Bavaria CPI m/m	-0.3	--	%
03/01/2023	0900/1000	***	Dec		DE	Bavaria CPI y/y	10.9	--	%
03/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final)	44.7	44.7
03/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Dec		DE	Saxony CPI m/m	-0.3	--	%
03/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Dec		DE	Saxony CPI y/y	9.9	--	%
03/01/2023	1300/1400	***	Jan		DE	HICP (p) m/m	0.0	-0.5	%
03/01/2023	1300/1400	***	Jan		DE	HICP (p) y/y	11.3	10.5	%
03/01/2023	1445/0945	***	Dec		US	IHS Markit Mfg Index (final)	46.2	46.2
03/01/2023	1500/1000	*	Nov		US	Construction Spending m/m	-0.3	-0.4	%
03/01/2023	1630/1130	*	06-Jan		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
03/01/2023	1630/1130	*	06-Jan		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
04/01/2023	0001/0001	*	Jan		UK	BRC Shop Price Index m/m	0.9	--	%
04/01/2023	0001/0001	*	Jan		UK	BRC Shop Price Index y/y	7.4	--	%
04/01/2023	0030/0930	**	Dec		JP	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.8	--
04/01/2023	0730/0830	***	Dec		CH	CPI m/m	0.0	-0.1	%
04/01/2023	0730/0830	***	Dec		CH	CPI y/y	3.0	3.0	%
04/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Jan		FR	Consumer Sentiment	83.0	84.0
04/01/2023	0745/0845	***	Jan		FR	HICP m/m (p)	0.5	0.4	%
04/01/2023	0745/0845	***	Jan		FR	HICP y/y (p)	7.1	7.2	%
04/01/2023	0815/0915	**	Dec		ES	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	51.2	50.8
04/01/2023	0845/0945	**	Dec		IT	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.5	49.5
04/01/2023	0850/0950	**	Dec		FR	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	48.1	48.1
04/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Dec		DE	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.0	49.0
04/01/2023	0900/1000	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.1	49.1
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	M4 Money Supply m/m	0.0	--	%
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	M4 Money Supply y/y	4.8	--	%
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Mortgage Approvals (BOE)	58977.0	--
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Net Consumer Credit (BOE)	0.769	--	GBP (b)
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Net Lending On Dwellings	3.966	--	GBP (b)
04/01/2023	1200/0700	**	30-Dec		US	MBA Mortgage Applications w/w	--	--	%
04/01/2023	-	***	Dec		US	NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR	14.14	--	(m)
04/01/2023	1355/0855	**	31-Dec		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month)	7.2	--	%
04/01/2023	1355/0855	**	31-Dec		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week)	9.6	--	%
04/01/2023	1500/1000	***	Dec		US	ISM Manufacturing Index	49.0	48.5
04/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	JOLTS job openings level	10334.0	10100	(k)
04/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	JOLTS quits rate	2.6	--	%
05/01/2023	2200/0900	*	Dec		AU	IHS Markit Final Australia Services PMI	46.9	--
05/01/2023	0145/0945	**	Dec		CN	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	46.7	46.8
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance exports m/m	-0.6	-0.5	%
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance imports m/m	-3.7	-0.9	%
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance m/m	6.9	7.5	E (b)
05/01/2023	0830/0930	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Construction PMI	--	--
05/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Services PMI (Final)	50.0	50.0
05/01/2023	1000/1000	**	06-Jan		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
05/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		IT	HICP (p) m/m	0.6	--	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		IT	HICP (p) y/y	12.5	12.3	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	PPI m/m	-2.9	-0.5	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	PPI y/y	30.8	27.5	%
05/01/2023	1315/0815	***	Dec		US	ADP Private Payrolls	127	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Continuing Claims	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Initial Jobless Claims	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Prev Continuing Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	Nov		US	Previous Trade Deficit Revised	-74.1	--	USD (b)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	Nov		US	Trade Balance	-78.2	-74.5	USD (b)
05/01/2023	1445/0945	***	Dec		US	IHS Markit Services Index (final)	44.4	44.4
05/01/2023	1530/1030	**	30-Dec		US	Natural Gas Stocks w/w	--	--	Bcf
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w	0.718	--	bbl (m)
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Distillate Stocks w/w change	0.283	--	bbl (m)
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Gasoline Stocks w/w change	-3.105	--	bbl (m)
06/01/2023	0030/0930	**	Dec		JP	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	51.7	--
06/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	manufacturing orders m/m	0.8	-0.4	%
06/01/2023	0730/0830	**	Nov		CH	Retail Sales m/m	-2.7	--	%
06/01/2023	0730/0830	**	Nov		CH	Retail Sales wda y/y	-2.5	--	%
06/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Dec		FR	Consumer Spending y/y	-5.9	--	%
06/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Dec		FR	Consumer Spending m/m	-2.8	1.1	%
06/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI	50.4	--
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Economic Sentiment Indicator	93.7	--
06/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		EU	HICP (p) 'core' y/y	5.0	5.0	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		EU	HICP (p) y/y	10.0	9.6	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	Retail Sales m/m	-1.8	0.6	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	Retail Sales y/y wda	-2.7	-3.1	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		CA	Employment	10.1	--	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		CA	Unemployment rate	5.1	--	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Corn Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Corn Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Soy Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Soy Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Wheat Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Wheat Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Average Hourly Earnings, m/m	0.6	0.4	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Average Workweek, All Workers	34.4	34.4	hrs
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Nonfarm Payrolls	263.0	200	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev	284.0	--	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Private Payrolls	221.0	167	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Unemployment Rate	3.7	3.7	%
06/01/2023	1500/1000	*	Dec		CA	Ivey PMI (SA)	51.4	--
06/01/2023	1500/1000	***	Dec		US	ISM Non-manufacturing Index	56.5	55.0
06/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	Factory New Orders	1.0	-0.8	%
06/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	Factory Orders ex-transport	0.8	--	%

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Date	GMT/Local	Impact	Period	Flag	Country	Release	Prior	Consensus
31/12/2022	0130/0930	***	Dec		CN	CFLP Manufacturing PMI	48.0	48.3
31/12/2022	0130/0930	**	Dec		CN	CFLP Non-Manufacturing PMI	46.7	46.5
02/01/2023	0815/0915	**	Dec		ES	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	45.7	45.8
02/01/2023	0845/0945	**	Dec		IT	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.4	48.6
02/01/2023	0850/0950	**	Dec		FR	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.9	48.9
02/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Dec		DE	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	47.4	47.4
02/01/2023	0900/1000	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	47.8	47.8
03/01/2023	2200/0900	**	Dec		AU	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	50.4	--
03/01/2023	0145/0945	**	Dec		CN	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	49.4	49.1
03/01/2023	0700/0200	*	Dec		TR	CPI m/m	2.88	66.7	%
03/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Jan		DE	Unemployment Change m/m	17.0	15
03/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Jan		DE	Unemployment Rate	5.6	5.6	%
03/01/2023	0900/1000	***	Dec		DE	Bavaria CPI m/m	-0.3	--	%
03/01/2023	0900/1000	***	Dec		DE	Bavaria CPI y/y	10.9	--	%
03/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final)	44.7	44.7
03/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Dec		DE	Saxony CPI m/m	-0.3	--	%
03/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Dec		DE	Saxony CPI y/y	9.9	--	%
03/01/2023	1300/1400	***	Jan		DE	HICP (p) m/m	0.0	-0.5	%
03/01/2023	1300/1400	***	Jan		DE	HICP (p) y/y	11.3	10.5	%
03/01/2023	1445/0945	***	Dec		US	IHS Markit Mfg Index (final)	46.2	46.2
03/01/2023	1500/1000	*	Nov		US	Construction Spending m/m	-0.3	-0.4	%
03/01/2023	1630/1130	*	06-Jan		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
03/01/2023	1630/1130	*	06-Jan		US	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
04/01/2023	0001/0001	*	Jan		UK	BRC Shop Price Index m/m	0.9	--	%
04/01/2023	0001/0001	*	Jan		UK	BRC Shop Price Index y/y	7.4	--	%
04/01/2023	0030/0930	**	Dec		JP	IHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)	48.8	--
04/01/2023	0730/0830	***	Dec		CH	CPI m/m	0.0	-0.1	%
04/01/2023	0730/0830	***	Dec		CH	CPI y/y	3.0	3.0	%
04/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Jan		FR	Consumer Sentiment	83.0	84.0
04/01/2023	0745/0845	***	Jan		FR	HICP m/m (p)	0.5	0.4	%
04/01/2023	0745/0845	***	Jan		FR	HICP y/y (p)	7.1	7.2	%
04/01/2023	0815/0915	**	Dec		ES	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	51.2	50.8
04/01/2023	0845/0945	**	Dec		IT	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.5	49.5
04/01/2023	0850/0950	**	Dec		FR	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	48.1	48.1
04/01/2023	0855/0955	**	Dec		DE	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.0	49.0
04/01/2023	0900/1000	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	49.1	49.1
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	M4 Money Supply m/m	0.0	--	%
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	M4 Money Supply y/y	4.8	--	%
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Mortgage Approvals (BOE)	58977.0	--
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Net Consumer Credit (BOE)	0.769	--	GBP (b)
04/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Jan		UK	Net Lending On Dwellings	3.966	--	GBP (b)
04/01/2023	1200/0700	**	30-Dec		US	MBA Mortgage Applications w/w	--	--	%
04/01/2023	-	***	Dec		US	NA-made light vehicle sales SAAR	14.14	--	(m)
04/01/2023	1355/0855	**	31-Dec		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (month)	7.2	--	%
04/01/2023	1355/0855	**	31-Dec		US	Redbook Retail Sales y/y (week)	9.6	--	%
04/01/2023	1500/1000	***	Dec		US	ISM Manufacturing Index	49.0	48.5
04/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	JOLTS job openings level	10334.0	10100	(k)
04/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	JOLTS quits rate	2.6	--	%
05/01/2023	2200/0900	*	Dec		AU	IHS Markit Final Australia Services PMI	46.9	--
05/01/2023	0145/0945	**	Dec		CN	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	46.7	46.8
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance exports m/m	-0.6	-0.5	%
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance imports m/m	-3.7	-0.9	%
05/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	Trade balance m/m	6.9	7.5	E (b)
05/01/2023	0830/0930	**	Dec		EU	IHS Markit Construction PMI	--	--
05/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Services PMI (Final)	50.0	50.0
05/01/2023	1000/1000	**	06-Jan		UK	Bid to Cover Ratio	--	--
05/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		IT	HICP (p) m/m	0.6	--	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		IT	HICP (p) y/y	12.5	12.3	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	PPI m/m	-2.9	-0.5	%
05/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	PPI y/y	30.8	27.5	%
05/01/2023	1315/0815	***	Dec		US	ADP Private Payrolls	127	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Continuing Claims	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Initial Jobless Claims	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Prev Continuing Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	31-Dec		US	Prev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev	--	--	(k)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	Nov		US	Previous Trade Deficit Revised	-74.1	--	USD (b)
05/01/2023	1330/0830	**	Nov		US	Trade Balance	-78.2	-74.5	USD (b)
05/01/2023	1445/0945	***	Dec		US	IHS Markit Services Index (final)	44.4	44.4
05/01/2023	1530/1030	**	30-Dec		US	Natural Gas Stocks w/w	--	--	Bcf
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Crude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w	0.718	--	bbl (m)
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Distillate Stocks w/w change	0.283	--	bbl (m)
05/01/2023	1600/1100	**	30-Dec		US	Gasoline Stocks w/w change	-3.105	--	bbl (m)
06/01/2023	0030/0930	**	Dec		JP	IHS Markit Services PMI (f)	51.7	--
06/01/2023	0700/0800	**	Nov		DE	manufacturing orders m/m	0.8	-0.4	%
06/01/2023	0730/0830	**	Nov		CH	Retail Sales m/m	-2.7	--	%
06/01/2023	0730/0830	**	Nov		CH	Retail Sales wda y/y	-2.5	--	%
06/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Dec		FR	Consumer Spending y/y	-5.9	--	%
06/01/2023	0745/0845	**	Dec		FR	Consumer Spending m/m	-2.8	1.1	%
06/01/2023	0930/0930	**	Dec		UK	IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI	50.4	--
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Jan		EU	Economic Sentiment Indicator	93.7	--
06/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		EU	HICP (p) 'core' y/y	5.0	5.0	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	***	Jan		EU	HICP (p) y/y	10.0	9.6	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	Retail Sales m/m	-1.8	0.6	%
06/01/2023	1000/1100	**	Nov		EU	Retail Sales y/y wda	-2.7	-3.1	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		CA	Employment	10.1	--	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		CA	Unemployment rate	5.1	--	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Corn Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Corn Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Soy Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Soy Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Wheat Net Sales	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	**	05-Jan		US	Wheat Weekly Exports	--	--	MT (k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Average Hourly Earnings, m/m	0.6	0.4	%
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Average Workweek, All Workers	34.4	34.4	hrs
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Nonfarm Payrolls	263.0	200	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Prev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev	284.0	--	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Private Payrolls	221.0	167	(k)
06/01/2023	1330/0830	***	Dec		US	Unemployment Rate	3.7	3.7	%
06/01/2023	1500/1000	*	Dec		CA	Ivey PMI (SA)	51.4	--
06/01/2023	1500/1000	***	Dec		US	ISM Non-manufacturing Index	56.5	55.0
06/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	Factory New Orders	1.0	-0.8	%
06/01/2023	1500/1000	**	Nov		US	Factory Orders ex-transport	0.8	--	%

MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, March 30

MNI BRIEF: BOJ Extends Bilateral Swap Agreement with Thailand

MNI BRIEF: BOJ Tankan To Show Mixed Sentiment, Solid Capex

EC Sentiment Indexes Show Consumer Inflation Expectations Uptick

MNI Projects CPI to Cool to +7.39% in March Flash

MNI: SAXONY MAR CPI +0.9% M/M, +8.3% Y/Y

MNI INTERVIEW: Canada Budget Keeps BOC On Pause: Ex Official

MNI BRIEF: FDIC To Conduct Review Of Deposit Insurance

MNI BRIEF: Fed's Barr: Will Use All Tools To Keep Banks Safe

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MNI INTERVIEW: ECB Growth Forecasts Over-Reliant On China

MNI BRIEF: Brussels Says New Trade Tools Needed Vs China

MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, March 30

MNI EXCLUSIVE: ECB Should Hike As Market Fears Wane - Kazaks

MNI BRIEF: BOJ Extends Bilateral Swap Agreement with Thailand

MNI DATA FORECASTS: 2023 Sees Busy Start; US Jobs Report Eyed

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MNI DATA FORECASTS: 2023 Sees Busy Start; US Jobs Report Eyed

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