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MNI DATA FORECASTS: US Inflation Data In Focus

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing July 10.

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
10/07/20230130/0930***JunCNCPI y/y0.20.2%
10/07/20230130/0930***JunCNPPI y/y-4.6-5.0%
10/07/20230600/0800*JunNOCPI m/m0.5--%
10/07/20230600/0800*JunNOCPI y/y6.7--%
10/07/2023-***JunCNM2 ytd y/y (date tba)11.611.2%
10/07/2023-***JunCNnew loans (date tba)1.362.30CNY (t)
10/07/2023-***JunCNsocial financing (date tba)1.563.05CNY (t)
10/07/20231230/0830*MayCABuilding Permits-18.8--%
10/07/20231400/1000**MayUSWholesale Inventories m/m-0.1-0.1%
10/07/20231400/1000**MayUSWholesale Sales m/m0.2--%
10/07/20231500/1100**JulUSNyFed 1y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
10/07/20231500/1100**JulUSNyFed 3y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
10/07/20231500/1100**JulUSNyFed 5y cons. infl. expect. (med.)----%
10/07/20231530/1130*14-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
10/07/20231530/1130*14-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
10/07/20231900/1500*MayUSconsumer credit23.021.0USD (b)
11/07/20232301/0001*JunUKBRC Like-for-Like Sales y/y3.7--%
11/07/20232301/0001*JunUKBRC Total Sales y/y3.9--%
11/07/20230600/0800***JunDEHICP (f) m/m-0.20.4%
11/07/20230600/0800***JunDEHICP (f) y/y6.36.8%
11/07/20230600/0700***MayUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y6.56.8%
11/07/20230600/0700***MayUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy7.27.1%
11/07/20230600/0700***MayUKILO Unemployment Rate3.83.8%
11/07/20230600/0700***MayUKPrev Claimant Count Revised23.4-- (k)
11/07/20230600/0700***MayUKUnemployment Claimant Count-13.6-- (k)
11/07/20230800/1000*MayITIndustrial Production m/m-1.90.8%
11/07/20230800/1000*MayITIndustrial Production y/y wda-7.2-4.5%
11/07/20230900/1100***JulDEZEW Current Conditions Index-56.5-62.9
11/07/20230900/1100***JulDEZEW Expectations Index-8.5-9.5
11/07/20231000/0600**JunUSNFIB Small Business Index89.489.9
11/07/20231255/0855**08-JulUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
11/07/20231255/0855**08-JulUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
11/07/20231400/1000**JulUSIBD/TIPP Optimism Index41.7--
11/07/20231530/1130*14-JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
11/07/20231530/1130**JunUSBid to Cover Ratio----
11/07/20231700/1300***JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
12/07/20230200/1400***JulNZRBNZ OCR5.505.50%
12/07/20230700/0900***JunESHICP (f) m/m-0.10.6%
12/07/20230700/0900***JunESHICP (f) y/y2.91.6%
12/07/20230900/1000**14-JulUKBid to Cover Ratio----
12/07/20231100/0700**07-JulUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-4.4--%
12/07/20231230/0830***JunUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.40.3%
12/07/20231230/0830***JunUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)5.35.0%
12/07/20231230/0830***JunUSCPI m/m0.10.3%
12/07/20231230/0830***JunUSCPI y/y (nsa)4.03.1%
12/07/20231400/1000***CABOC Policy Decision4.755.0%
12/07/20231430/1030**07-JulUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
12/07/20231430/1030**07-JulUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/07/20231430/1030**07-JulUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USCorn Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USCorn Production current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USCorn yield per acre current year----
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USCotton Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USCotton Production current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USSoybeans - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USSoybeans Production current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USSoybeans yield per acre current year----
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USWheat - Ending Stocks current year---- (m)
12/07/20231600/1200***15/16USWheat Production current year---- (m)
12/07/20231700/1300**JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKGDP - 3m y/y0.5--%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKGDP - 3m/3m0.1-0.1%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKGDP - m/m0.2-0.4%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKIndex of Services 3m/3m-0.1-0.2%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKIndex of Services m/m0.3-0.4%
13/07/20230600/0700***MayUKIndustrial Production m/m-0.3-0.4%
13/07/20230600/0700***MayUKIndustrial Production y/y-1.9-2.3%
13/07/20230600/0700***MayUKManufacturing Output m/m-0.3-0.5%
13/07/20230600/0700***MayUKManufacturing Output y/y-0.9-1.7%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKNon-EU Trade Balance-5.04--GBP (b)
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKTotal Trade Balance-1.52--GBP (b)
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKVisible Trade Balance-15.0--GBP (b)
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKConstruction Output m/m-0.6-0.3%
13/07/20230600/0700**MayUKConstruction Output y/y3.60.9%
13/07/20230645/0845***JunFRHICP (f) m/m-0.10.2%
13/07/20230645/0845***JunFRHICP (f) y/y6.05.3%
13/07/20230900/1100**MayEUIndustrial Production m/m1.00.3%
13/07/20230900/1100**MayEUIndustrial Production y/y wda0.2-1.0%
13/07/2023-***JunCNexports y/y-7.5-10.0%
13/07/2023-***JunCNimports y/y-4.5-4.4%
13/07/2023-***JunCNtrade balance65.8174.00USD (b)
13/07/20231230/0830**08-JulUSContinuing Claims1720-- (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**08-JulUSInitial Jobless Claims248250 (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**08-JulUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**08-JulUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830**06-JulUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
13/07/20231230/0830***JunUSFinal Demand PPI m/m-0.30.2%
13/07/20231230/0830***JunUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.00.1%
13/07/20231230/0830***JunUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.20.2%
13/07/20231430/1030**07-JulUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
13/07/20231700/1300***JulUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/07/20231800/1400**JunUSTreasury Budget Balance-240.3-163USD (b)
14/07/20230600/0800***JunSECPIF y/y6.7--%
14/07/20230900/1100*MayEUTrade Balance-7.1--E (b)
14/07/20231230/0830**MayCAManufacturing Sales0.3--%
14/07/20231230/0830**JunUSExports Price Index m/m-1.90.0%
14/07/20231230/0830**JunUSImports Price Index m/m-0.6-0.1%
14/07/20231300/0900*JunCACREA Existing Home Sales Monthly5.1-- (k)
14/07/20231400/1000**JunUSU. Mich Consumer Expectations61.5--
14/07/20231400/1000**JunUSU. Mich Consumer Sentiment64.465.5
14/07/20231400/1000**JunUSU. Mich Current Economic Conditions69.0--
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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