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MNI DATA SURVEY: China April Economic Data Forecast

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                   CPI    PPI     M2   New Loans (CNY Bln)   TSF (CNY Bln)
                  April  April  April                 April           April
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median              2.6    0.6    8.5                1201.5          1700.0
High                2.9    0.8    9.1                1500.0          2100.0
Low                 2.2    0.2    8.3                1050.0          1400.0
Mean                2.6    0.6    8.5                1227.9          1676.5
No.                  20     20     19                    18              16
Previous            2.3    0.4    8.6                1690.0          2860.0
CEBM                2.4    0.5    8.4                1300.0          1700.0
CIB Research        2.5    0.5    8.6                1100.0          1400.0
CICC                2.6    0.5    8.3                1050.0          1850.0
Everbright Sec      2.9    0.6    8.5                1100.0          1700.0
Goldman Sachs       2.6    0.7    8.6                1200.0          1800.0
Guotai Junan        2.7    0.7    8.5                1300.0          1700.0
Haitong Sec         2.6    0.6    9.1                1200.0          1690.0
HSBC                2.6    0.2    8.3                1203.0          1564.0
Huatai Sec          2.6    0.6    8.5                1100.0          1700.0
Industrial Sec      2.6    0.7    8.5                1200.0          1500.0
ING                 2.8    0.6    N/A                   N/A             N/A
Merchant Sec        2.5    0.6    8.4                1150.0          1500.0
Minsheng Bank       2.6    0.8    8.4                1250.0          1700.0
Minsheng Sec        2.6    0.5    8.3                1200.0          1620.0
Moody's             2.5    0.5    8.5                   N/A             N/A
New Times Sec       2.5    0.6    8.5                1300.0          1600.0
Peking U Rsrch      2.9    0.7    8.4                1350.0             N/A
Shanghai Sec        2.2    0.8    8.4                1500.0             N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan    2.4    0.8    8.6                1300.0          2100.0
                                                                      1700.
Southwest Sec       2.6    0.7    8.5                1300.0               0
                                       Trade
              Exports   Imports      Balance    Output     Investment     Retail
                April     April       ($Bln)     April      Jan-April      April
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median            3.7      -4.0         39.1       6.3            6.4        8.6
High             14.9      13.5         56.7       8.0            6.7        9.4
Low              -2.0      -9.3         21.0       4.6            6.1        8.3
Mean              3.8      -3.4         38.7       6.4            6.4        8.7
No.                19        19           17        17             17         17
Previous         14.2      -7.6         32.7       8.5            6.3        8.7
CEBM              5.0      -5.0          N/A       6.4            6.3        8.6
CIB
Research          4.0      -4.0         41.1       6.5            6.5        8.6
CICC              1.0      -2.5          N/A       6.2            6.5        8.6
Everbright
Sec               6.0      -3.0          N/A       6.2            6.3        8.5
Goldman
Sachs             0.0       3.0         21.0       4.6            6.4        8.6
Guotai
Junan             2.5      -5.0         39.9       7.0            6.5        8.5
Haitong Sec       3.3      -3.4         40.9       5.8            6.4        9.4
HSBC              6.9      -9.1         55.6       N/A            N/A        N/A
Huatai Sec       -2.0      -1.6         25.0       6.3            6.2        8.5
Industrial
Sec               5.0      -1.0         37.8       6.0            6.2        8.7
ING              14.9      13.5         32.7       N/A            N/A        N/A
Merchant
Sec               3.0      -2.7         37.0       6.3            6.5        9.0
Minsheng
Bank              1.4      -5.8         39.1       6.5            6.3        8.8
Minsheng
Sec               1.1      -5.0         56.7       6.0            6.1        8.3
Moody's           N/A       N/A         28.8       N/A            N/A        N/A
New Times
Sec               3.7      -8.0         47.4       6.5            6.5        8.6
Peking U
Rsrch             5.5      -9.3         36.0       8.0            6.7        8.6
Shanghai
Sec               5.3      -7.4         40.0       7.8            6.5        8.9
Shenwan
Hongyuan          7.0       0.0         40.0       6.5            6.5        9.2
Southwest
Sec              -1.0      -8.0         38.0       5.7            6.2        8.5
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     April CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT May 9.
     April trade data is due for release on May 8.
     April money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between May 10 and May 15. Date and time uncertain at publication time.
     April Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on May 15.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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