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May 07, 2019 08:26 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China April Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY Bln) TSF (CNY Bln)
April April April April April
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 2.6 0.6 8.5 1201.5 1700.0
High 2.9 0.8 9.1 1500.0 2100.0
Low 2.2 0.2 8.3 1050.0 1400.0
Mean 2.6 0.6 8.5 1227.9 1676.5
No. 20 20 19 18 16
Previous 2.3 0.4 8.6 1690.0 2860.0
CEBM 2.4 0.5 8.4 1300.0 1700.0
CIB Research 2.5 0.5 8.6 1100.0 1400.0
CICC 2.6 0.5 8.3 1050.0 1850.0
Everbright Sec 2.9 0.6 8.5 1100.0 1700.0
Goldman Sachs 2.6 0.7 8.6 1200.0 1800.0
Guotai Junan 2.7 0.7 8.5 1300.0 1700.0
Haitong Sec 2.6 0.6 9.1 1200.0 1690.0
HSBC 2.6 0.2 8.3 1203.0 1564.0
Huatai Sec 2.6 0.6 8.5 1100.0 1700.0
Industrial Sec 2.6 0.7 8.5 1200.0 1500.0
ING 2.8 0.6 N/A N/A N/A
Merchant Sec 2.5 0.6 8.4 1150.0 1500.0
Minsheng Bank 2.6 0.8 8.4 1250.0 1700.0
Minsheng Sec 2.6 0.5 8.3 1200.0 1620.0
Moody's 2.5 0.5 8.5 N/A N/A
New Times Sec 2.5 0.6 8.5 1300.0 1600.0
Peking U Rsrch 2.9 0.7 8.4 1350.0 N/A
Shanghai Sec 2.2 0.8 8.4 1500.0 N/A
Shenwan Hongyuan 2.4 0.8 8.6 1300.0 2100.0
1700.
Southwest Sec 2.6 0.7 8.5 1300.0 0
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
April April ($Bln) April Jan-April April
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 3.7 -4.0 39.1 6.3 6.4 8.6
High 14.9 13.5 56.7 8.0 6.7 9.4
Low -2.0 -9.3 21.0 4.6 6.1 8.3
Mean 3.8 -3.4 38.7 6.4 6.4 8.7
No. 19 19 17 17 17 17
Previous 14.2 -7.6 32.7 8.5 6.3 8.7
CEBM 5.0 -5.0 N/A 6.4 6.3 8.6
CIB
Research 4.0 -4.0 41.1 6.5 6.5 8.6
CICC 1.0 -2.5 N/A 6.2 6.5 8.6
Everbright
Sec 6.0 -3.0 N/A 6.2 6.3 8.5
Goldman
Sachs 0.0 3.0 21.0 4.6 6.4 8.6
Guotai
Junan 2.5 -5.0 39.9 7.0 6.5 8.5
Haitong Sec 3.3 -3.4 40.9 5.8 6.4 9.4
HSBC 6.9 -9.1 55.6 N/A N/A N/A
Huatai Sec -2.0 -1.6 25.0 6.3 6.2 8.5
Industrial
Sec 5.0 -1.0 37.8 6.0 6.2 8.7
ING 14.9 13.5 32.7 N/A N/A N/A
Merchant
Sec 3.0 -2.7 37.0 6.3 6.5 9.0
Minsheng
Bank 1.4 -5.8 39.1 6.5 6.3 8.8
Minsheng
Sec 1.1 -5.0 56.7 6.0 6.1 8.3
Moody's N/A N/A 28.8 N/A N/A N/A
New Times
Sec 3.7 -8.0 47.4 6.5 6.5 8.6
Peking U
Rsrch 5.5 -9.3 36.0 8.0 6.7 8.6
Shanghai
Sec 5.3 -7.4 40.0 7.8 6.5 8.9
Shenwan
Hongyuan 7.0 0.0 40.0 6.5 6.5 9.2
Southwest
Sec -1.0 -8.0 38.0 5.7 6.2 8.5
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
April CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT May 9.
April trade data is due for release on May 8.
April money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between May 10 and May 15. Date and time uncertain at publication time.
April Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on May 15.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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