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MNI DATA SURVEY: China April Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
                 CPI         PPI       M2       New Loans   (CNY      TSF   (CNY
                        Apr       Apr      Apr        Bln)   Apr     Bln)    Apr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median                  1.9       3.5      8.5              1150            1300
High                    2.1       3.8      8.8              1500            1781
Low                     1.7       3.3      8.2               900            1100
Mean                    1.9       3.5      8.5              1177            1398
No.                      19        19       16                15               9
Previous                2.1       3.1      8.2              1120            1330
China Sec               2.0       3.4      8.4              1200              na
CICC                    2.0       3.3      8.2              1100            1500
CITIC Sec               2.1       3.5      8.6              1400              na
Guotai Junan            2.0       3.4      8.6              1200            1350
HSBC                    1.9       3.5       na                na              na
Huatai Sec              2.0       3.5      8.5              1100            1300
IndustrialBank          1.7       3.5      8.4               900            1100
ING                     1.8       3.5      8.3              1500            1781
Merchant Sec            1.7       3.4      8.5              1100            1250
Moody's                 2.0       3.5      8.4                na              na
Nomura                  1.9       3.4      8.8              1000            1300
Peking U Rsrch          1.9       3.4      8.5              1200              na
Ping An Sec             1.9       3.6      8.3                na              na
Sealand Sec             1.9       3.5       na              1000              na
Shanghai Sec            1.9       3.8      8.4              1500              na
Shenwan
Hongyuan                1.9       3.5      8.5              1000            1300
Sino Link Sec           1.9       3.6      8.6              1300            1700
Southwest Sec           2.0       3.5      8.4              1150              na
Zhong Tai Sec           2.1       3.5       na                na              na
                                          Trade
                Exports   Imports   Balance      Output    Investment   Retail
                     Apr       Apr       ($Bln)      Apr       Jan-Apr       Apr
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median               8.0      16.0         28.6      6.5           7.4      10.1
High                12.0      20.3         40.0      6.6           7.9      10.3
Low                 -4.3       9.4          0.0      6.1           7.0       9.8
Mean                 7.6      15.5         28.4      6.4           7.4      10.1
No.                   17        17           13       16            16        16
Previous            -2.7      14.4         -5.0      6.0           7.5      10.1
China Sec            9.0      12.0           na      6.3           7.3      10.3
CICC                10.0      18.0         28.6      6.5           7.4      10.0
CITIC Sec           11.0      16.0         40.0      6.5           7.8      10.3
Guotai Junan        10.0      20.0         27.1      6.6           7.5      10.2
HSBC                 6.0      17.0           na       na            na        na
Huatai Sec           4.0       9.4           na      6.5           7.2      10.2
IndustrialBank      12.0      16.0         36.0      6.1           7.1       9.8
ING                  6.5      17.6         23.0       na            na        na
Merchant Sec         9.8      13.3         35.0      6.3           7.4      10.3
Moody                 na        na         35.0       na            na        na
Nomura               7.0      15.0         27.5      6.3           7.4       9.9
Peking U Rsrch      11.0      16.4         34.0      6.4           7.0      10.0
Ping An Sec          6.0      12.0         30.0      6.2           7.2      10.0
Sealand Sec         10.5      12.3           na      6.5           7.6      10.1
Shanghai Sec        -4.3      20.3          0.0      6.5           7.9      10.1
Shenwan
Hongyuan             8.0      18.0         25.1      6.5           7.5      10.1
Sino Link Sec        6.0      16.0           na      6.5           7.4      10.3
Southwest Sec        6.4      14.1         27.3      6.4           7.5      10.0
Zhongtai Sec          na        na           na      6.3           7.4      10.1
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     April trade data is due for release on May 8.
     April CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0130GMT May 10.
     April money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between May 10 and May 15. Date and time uncertain.
     April Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released at 1000 local/0200GMT on May 15.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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