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MNI DATA SURVEY: China July Economic Data Forecast

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
              CPI         PPI       M2         New Loans   (CNY  TSF   (CNY Bln)
                     Jul       Jul       Jul         Bln)   Jul              Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median               1.9       4.4       8.2               1200             1100
High                 2.1       4.8       8.4               1700             1500
Low                  1.8       4.3       8.0               1000              800
Mean                 1.9       4.4       8.2               1203             1105
No.                   19        19        17                 17               10
Previous             1.9       4.7       8.0               1840             1180
China Sec            1.9       4.5       8.1               1200               na
CICC                 1.9       4.3       8.4               1700             1500
CITIC Sec            2.1       4.4       8.2               1100               na
Guotai Junan         2.0       4.5       8.2               1000              800
Haitong Sec          1.8       4.4       8.2               1100               na
HSBC                 2.0       4.7       8.2               1000              950
Huachuang
Sec                  1.8       4.4       8.3               1400               na
Huatai Sec           2.0       4.5       8.3               1000              900
ING                  2.1       4.8        na                 na               na
Merchant Sec         1.9       4.3       8.2               1000             1100
Minsheng
Bank                 1.9       4.5       8.3               1200             1000
Moody's              1.9       4.3       8.1                 na               na
Morgan
Stanley              2.0       4.4       8.2             1200.0           1100.0
Peking U
Rsrch                2.0       4.5       8.1               1250               na
Sealand Sec          1.9       4.3        na               1500               na
Shanghai Sec         1.9       4.4       8.2               1200               na
Shenwan
Hongyuan             1.9       4.3       8.4               1200             1100
Sino Link
Sec                  2.0       4.3       8.0               1200             1300
Southwest
Sec                  1.9       4.3       8.1               1200             1300
                                       Trade
             Exports   Imports   Balance      Output   Investment       Retail
                  Jul       Jul       ($Bln)      Jul         Jan-Jul        Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median           10.1      17.0         39.0      6.3             6.0        9.0
High             12.0      25.6         49.5      7.0             6.8        9.6
Low               2.4      10.0         30.0      6.0             5.8        8.7
Mean              9.9      16.5         39.3      6.3             6.0        9.1
No.                17        17           13       15              15         15
Previous         11.3      14.1         41.6      6.0             6.0        9.0
China Sec        10.0      14.5           na      6.1             5.9        8.7
CICC             12.0      20.0         38.5      6.5             6.0        9.0
CITIC Sec         9.0      11.0         45.9      6.3             6.0        9.4
Guotai
Junan            11.0      20.0         36.6      6.5             6.0        9.0
Haitong Sec      10.8      18.1         39.0      6.0             6.0        8.9
HSBC             10.1      15.0         42.3
Huachuang
Sec               8.9      11.8           na      6.3             5.9        8.7
Huatai Sec        2.4      18.7           na      6.4             6.1        9.6
ING              11.7      12.1         49.5       na              na         na
Merchant
Sec               9.0      18.8         34.5      6.3             5.8        9.0
Minsheng
Bank              6.7      18.9         30.0      6.2             5.8        9.4
Moody's            na        na         44.0       na              na         na
Morgan
Stanley            na        na           na       na              na         na
Peking U
Rsrch            12.0      17.0         30.0      6.4             5.8        8.8
Sealand Sec      11.8      18.7           na      6.4             6.0        8.9
Shanghai
Sec              11.9      25.6         30.0      7.0             6.8        9.6
Shenwan
Hongyuan         11.0      17.0         40.9      6.2             6.0        8.8
Sino Link
Sec               9.8      12.5           na      6.1             5.9        8.8
Southwest
Sec              10.0      10.0         49.3      6.0             5.9        9.4
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     July trade data is due for release on August 8 at 1100 local/0400 GMT.
     July CPI, PPI due for release on August 9 at 0930 local/0230 GMT.
     July money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between August 10 and August 15. Date and time uncertain.
     July industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on August 14 at 1000 local/0300 GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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