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August 07, 2018 04:13 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China July Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY TSF (CNY Bln)
Jul Jul Jul Bln) Jul Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 1.9 4.4 8.2 1200 1100
High 2.1 4.8 8.4 1700 1500
Low 1.8 4.3 8.0 1000 800
Mean 1.9 4.4 8.2 1203 1105
No. 19 19 17 17 10
Previous 1.9 4.7 8.0 1840 1180
China Sec 1.9 4.5 8.1 1200 na
CICC 1.9 4.3 8.4 1700 1500
CITIC Sec 2.1 4.4 8.2 1100 na
Guotai Junan 2.0 4.5 8.2 1000 800
Haitong Sec 1.8 4.4 8.2 1100 na
HSBC 2.0 4.7 8.2 1000 950
Huachuang
Sec 1.8 4.4 8.3 1400 na
Huatai Sec 2.0 4.5 8.3 1000 900
ING 2.1 4.8 na na na
Merchant Sec 1.9 4.3 8.2 1000 1100
Minsheng
Bank 1.9 4.5 8.3 1200 1000
Moody's 1.9 4.3 8.1 na na
Morgan
Stanley 2.0 4.4 8.2 1200.0 1100.0
Peking U
Rsrch 2.0 4.5 8.1 1250 na
Sealand Sec 1.9 4.3 na 1500 na
Shanghai Sec 1.9 4.4 8.2 1200 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan 1.9 4.3 8.4 1200 1100
Sino Link
Sec 2.0 4.3 8.0 1200 1300
Southwest
Sec 1.9 4.3 8.1 1200 1300
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
Jul Jul ($Bln) Jul Jan-Jul Jul
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 10.1 17.0 39.0 6.3 6.0 9.0
High 12.0 25.6 49.5 7.0 6.8 9.6
Low 2.4 10.0 30.0 6.0 5.8 8.7
Mean 9.9 16.5 39.3 6.3 6.0 9.1
No. 17 17 13 15 15 15
Previous 11.3 14.1 41.6 6.0 6.0 9.0
China Sec 10.0 14.5 na 6.1 5.9 8.7
CICC 12.0 20.0 38.5 6.5 6.0 9.0
CITIC Sec 9.0 11.0 45.9 6.3 6.0 9.4
Guotai
Junan 11.0 20.0 36.6 6.5 6.0 9.0
Haitong Sec 10.8 18.1 39.0 6.0 6.0 8.9
HSBC 10.1 15.0 42.3
Huachuang
Sec 8.9 11.8 na 6.3 5.9 8.7
Huatai Sec 2.4 18.7 na 6.4 6.1 9.6
ING 11.7 12.1 49.5 na na na
Merchant
Sec 9.0 18.8 34.5 6.3 5.8 9.0
Minsheng
Bank 6.7 18.9 30.0 6.2 5.8 9.4
Moody's na na 44.0 na na na
Morgan
Stanley na na na na na na
Peking U
Rsrch 12.0 17.0 30.0 6.4 5.8 8.8
Sealand Sec 11.8 18.7 na 6.4 6.0 8.9
Shanghai
Sec 11.9 25.6 30.0 7.0 6.8 9.6
Shenwan
Hongyuan 11.0 17.0 40.9 6.2 6.0 8.8
Sino Link
Sec 9.8 12.5 na 6.1 5.9 8.8
Southwest
Sec 10.0 10.0 49.3 6.0 5.9 9.4
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
July trade data is due for release on August 8 at 1100 local/0400 GMT.
July CPI, PPI due for release on August 9 at 0930 local/0230 GMT.
July money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between August 10 and August 15. Date and time uncertain.
July industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will be
released on August 14 at 1000 local/0300 GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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