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July 06, 2018 09:38 GMT
MNI DATA SURVEY: China June Economic Data Forecast
MNI (Singapore)
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
GDP CPI PPI M2 New Loans (CNY TSF (CNY Bln)
Q2 Jun Jun Jun Bln) Jun Jun
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 6.7 1.9 4.5 8.3 1600 1500
High 6.8 2.2 4.8 8.5 2000 1700
Low 6.7 1.5 4.0 7.5 1100 1400
Mean 6.7 1.9 4.5 8.3 1578 1550
No. 13 19 19 18 17 9
Previous 6.8 1.8 4.1 8.3 1150 760
BankComm 6.7 1.7 4.4 8.5 1600 na
Central China
Sec na 1.8 4.4 8.3 1160 na
China Sec 6.7 1.9 4.7 8.3 1600 na
CIB Research 6.7 2.2 4.5 8.3 1700 1450
CICC 6.8 1.9 4.6 8.0 1700 1400
Everbright Sec 6.7 2.1 4.8 8.4 2000 na
Guotai Junan 6.8 1.8 4.5 8.4 1550 1700
Haitong Sec 6.7 1.8 4.6 7.5 1100 na
Huachuang Sec na 2.0 4.8 8.2 1700 na
Huatai Sec 6.7 2.1 4.8 8.3 1600 1500
ING na 1.8 4.0 8.3 1617 na
Merchant Sec 6.8 1.9 4.5 8.2 1600 1600
Moody's na 1.8 4.0 8.4 na na
Ping An Sec 6.7 1.9 4.8 8.2 na na
Sealand Sec 6.8 1.9 4.4 na 1800 1700
Shanghai Sec na 1.5 4.4 8.4 1500 na
Shenwan
Hongyuan na 2.0 4.4 8.4 1600 1500
Sino Link Sec 6.7 2.0 4.6 8.5 1500 1600
Southwest Sec 6.8 2.0 4.6 8.1 1500 1500
Trade
Exports Imports Balance Output Investment Retail
Jun Jun ($Bln) Jun Jan-Jun Jun
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median 10.0 21.5 26.0 6.5 6.0 9.0
High 20.0 26.6 46.6 7.1 6.5 10.0
Low -1.2 10.9 23.0 6.0 5.8 8.0
Mean 10.4 20.4 28.1 6.5 6.0 9.0
No. 18 18 15 17 16 17
Previous 12.6 26.0 24.9 6.8 6.1 8.5
BankComm 12.0 25.0 26.0 6.8 6.5 9.0
Central
China Sec 20.0 11.0 30.0 7.1 6.0 9.0
China Sec 12.0 18.0 na 6.4 5.9 8.0
CIB Research 8.0 22.0 23.1 6.4 5.8 9.6
CICC 10.0 22.0 27.0 6.0 6.0 8.7
Everbright
Sec 11.0 15.0 39.7 6.3 na 9.4
Guotai Junan 10.0 24.0 na 6.3 6.1 8.8
Haitong Sec 12.6 26.6 24.9 6.1 5.9 8.9
Huachuang
Sec 7.1 19.0 26.0 6.5 5.9 9.3
Huatai Sec -1.2 10.9 25.0 6.5 6.5 9.0
ING 14.4 22.4 23.0 na na na
Merchant Sec 9.8 23.1 25.0 6.5 5.9 9.0
Moody's na na 26.0 na na na
Ping An Sec 10.0 24.0 23.9 6.1 6.3 9.5
Sealand Sec 11.5 18.1 na 6.6 6.0 9.0
Shanghai Sec 10.9 24.4 25.0 7.0 6.2 10.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan 10.0 20.0 30.1 6.5 6.0 8.8
Sino Link
Sec 10.0 21.0 na 6.5 5.8 8.7
Southwest
Sec 9.0 20.0 46.6 6.2 5.9 8.5
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
June CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT July 10.
June money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between July 10 and July 15. Date and time uncertain.
June trade data is due for release on July 13.
Q2 GDP, June Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment
will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on July 16.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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