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MNI DATA SURVEY: China September Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
             GDP    CPI        PPI      M2           New Loans        TSF   (CNY
                Q3        Sep      Sep      Sep  (CNY Bln)   Sep     Bln)    Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median         6.6        2.5      3.5      8.3             1300            1380
High           6.8        2.7      4.0      8.5             1500            1850
Low            6.5        2.2      3.3      8.1              700            1120
Mean           6.6        2.5      3.5      8.3             1258            1428
No.             11         16       16       16               15               9
Previous       6.7        2.3      4.1      8.2             1280            1520
Bank of
China          6.6        2.4      3.6      8.4             1500              na
China Sec      6.6        2.5      3.4      8.3             1300              na
CICC            na        2.7      3.3      8.3             1150            1400
CITIC Sec      6.6        2.5      3.4      8.1             1400              na
Everbright
Sec             na        2.5      3.6      8.3               na            1380
Guotai
Junan          6.6        2.6      3.4      8.3             1450            1350
Haitong Sec    6.5        2.6      3.4      8.2            900.0          1120.0
HSBC            na         na       na      8.5             1100            1375
Huachuang
Sec             na        2.4      3.8      8.2             1450              na
Huatai Sec     6.7        2.6      3.3      8.1             1300            1500
ING            6.5        2.7      3.5      8.2             1300              na
Merchant
Sec             na        2.5      3.7      8.1             1300            1850
Minsheng
Bank            na        2.6      3.5      8.3             1300            1500
Moody's        6.6        2.4      4.0      8.2               na              na
Sealand Sec    6.6        2.6      3.5       na             1350              na
Shanghai
Sec            6.8        2.2      3.4      8.4              700              na
Sino Link
Sec            6.5        2.5      3.6      8.1             1370            1380
                Output  Sep  Investment  Jan-Sep  Retail   Sep
--------------------------------------------------------------
Median                  6.0                  5.3           9.1
High                    6.7                  5.5           9.6
Low                     5.5                  5.1           8.7
Mean                    6.0                  5.3           9.1
No.                      16                   16            16
Previous                6.1                  5.3           9.0
Bank of China           6.1                  5.3           9.0
China Sec               6.0                  5.3           9.2
CICC                    6.0                  5.5           9.1
CITIC Sec               5.8                  5.3           8.9
Everbright Sec          6.0                  5.1           9.2
Guotai Junan            5.9                  5.3           8.9
Haitong Sec             5.9                  5.1           9.0
HSBC                     na                   na            na
Huachuang Sec           5.9                  5.1           9.1
Huatai Sec              6.0                  5.5           9.6
ING                     5.5                  5.5           8.7
Merchant Sec            6.3                  5.5           9.5
Minsheng Bank           5.9                  5.2           9.0
Moody's                 5.9                  5.3           8.8
Sealand Sec             6.0                  5.3           8.9
Shanghai Sec            6.7                  5.4           9.5
Sino Link Sec           6.1                  5.3           9.1
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     September money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to
be released between October 10 and October 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
     September CPI, PPI due for release at 0930 local/0230 GMT October 16.
     Q3 GDP, September Industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset
investment will be released at 1000 local/0300 GMT on October 19.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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