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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan June Trade Statistics, National CPI

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                Data   Month   Median            Previous
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thu, Jul 19  0850/2350             Exports     Jun      7.0    % y/y        8.1
Thu, Jul 19  0850/2350             Imports     Jun      5.3    % y/y       14.0
Thu, Jul 19  0850/2350       Trade Balance     Jun    538.1  bln yen     -580.5
Fri, Jul 20  0830/2330   National Core CPI     Jun      0.9    % y/y        0.7
Trade Statistics Forecast
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
Median Forecast                               7.0       5.3          538.1
High Forecast                                 9.7      10.5          660.2
Low Forecast                                  4.2       3.8          280.0
Previous Month                                8.1      14.0         -580.5
Standard Deviation                            1.5       2.1          103.4
No. of Responses                               11        11             12
                                          Exports   Imports  Trade Balance
                                            y/y %     y/y %      (bln yen)
BNP Paribas                                    na        na          561.7
Daiwa Institute of Research                   9.7       9.5          490.0
NLI Research Institute                        8.5       6.4          602.9
Mizuho Research Institute                     7.6       4.4          660.2
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                7.5      10.5          280.0
Japan Research Institute                      7.0       7.3          448.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management              7.0       5.3          570.0
Hamagin Research Institute                    6.6       5.3          542.0
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute              6.2       5.0          534.2
Nomura Securities                             5.9       3.8          584.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                         5.8       4.7          528.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting        4.2       5.3          383.7
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.9
High Forecast                                            0.9
Low Forecast                                             0.8
Previous Month                                           0.7
Standard Deviation                                       0.1
No. of Responses                                          12
                                              National % y/y
BNP Paribas                                              0.9
Hamagin Research Institute                               0.9
Japan Research Institute                                 0.9
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.9
Nomura Securities                                        0.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.8
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.8
NLI Research Institute                                   0.8
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.8
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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