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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP For July-September

TOKYO (MNI)

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's preliminary gross domestic product for the July-September quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.

Monday, November 15, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Sunday, November 14): The Cabinet Office releases preliminary Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

DataMedianPrevious
GDP q/q-0.30.5
GDP Annualized-1.01.9
Consumption-0.60.9
Capex-0.52.3
Public Investment-1.9-1.7
Private Inventories0.1-0.3
Net Exports-0.1-0.3
GDP
% Q/Q% Annualized
Median Forecast-0.3-1.0
High Forecast0.10.6
Low Forecast-0.5-2.2
Previous0.51.9
Standard Deviation0.20.9
No. of Responses88
SMBC Nikko0.10.6
Mizuho Research0.00.1
Japan Research-0.1-0.5
Daiwa Institute of Research-0.2-0.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute-0.3-1.1
Mitsubishi Sumitomo DS AM-0.4-1.6
Mitsubishi Research-0.4-1.7
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C-0.5-2.2
ConsumptionCapexPublic Works
% Q/Q% Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast-0.6-0.5-1.9
High Forecast-0.30.40.4
Low Forecast-1.0-2.3-2.8
Previous0.92.3-1.7
Standard Deviation0.31.00.9
No. of Responses888
SMBC Nikko-0.5-0.2-1.4
Mizuho Research-0.3-0.6-1.2
Japan Research-0.30.40.4
Daiwa Institute of Research-0.8-0.3-1.9
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute-0.4-0.9-2.0
Mitsubishi Sumitomo DS AM-0.8-0.1-1.9
Mitsubishi Research-1.0-2.3-2.8
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C-0.7-2.3-1.9
Private InventoriesNet Export
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast0.1-0.1
High Forecast0.30.2
Low Forecast-0.1-0.2
Previous-0.3-0.3
Standard Deviation0.20.2
No. of Responses88
SMBC Nikko-0.10.2
Mizuho Research0.20.0
Japan Research-0.10.0
Daiwa Institute of Research0.3-0.2
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute0.1-0.1
Mitsubishi Sumitomo DS AM0.1-0.2
Mitsubishi Research0.3-0.2
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C0.10.1
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com

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