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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for July -September

(MNI) Tokyo
(MNI) Tokyo

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's preliminary gross domestic product for the July-September quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.

Tuesday, November 15, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Monday, November 14): The Cabinet Office releases preliminary Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

DataMedianPrevious
GDP q/q0.70.9
GDP Annualized2.93.5
Consumption1.21.2
Capex1.02.0
Public Investment2.41.0
Private Inventories-0.4-0.3
Net Exports0.10.1
GDP
% Q/Q% Annualized
Median Forecast0.31.2
High Forecast0.62.4
Low Forecast0.20.7
Previous0.93.5
Standard Deviation0.20.7
No. of Responses88
Daiwa Institute of Research0.62.4
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM0.62.4
Mitsubishi Research0.41.8
NLI0.41.5
Mizuho R&T0.20.9
SMBC Nikko0.20.8
Dai-ichi life Research0.20.7
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C0.20.7
ConsumptionCapexPublic Works
% Q/Q% Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast0.32.01.3
High Forecast0.62.72.5
Low Forecast0.21.60.5
Previous1.22.01.0
Standard Deviation0.20.40.6
No. of Responses888
Daiwa Institute of Research0.22.40.9
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM0.22.01.5
Mitsubishi Research0.52.72.5
NLI0.61.91.8
Mizuho R&T0.21.91.4
SMBC Nikko0.52.40.8
Dai-ichi life Research0.41.61.1
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C0.21.60.5
Private InventoriesNet Export
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast0.0-0.3
High Forecast0.10.1
Low Forecast-0.2-0.6
Previous-0.30.1
Standard Deviation0.10.2
No. of Responses88
Daiwa Institute of Research-0.10.1
Mitsui Sumitomo DS AM0.00.0
Mitsubishi Research-0.2-0.3
NLI-0.1-0.3
Mizuho R&T0.1-0.3
SMBC Nikko0.0-0.6
Dai-ichi life Research0.1-0.5
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C0.0-0.2
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com

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