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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan Preliminary GDP for October-December

MNI (London)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for Japan's
preliminary gross domestic product for the October-December quarter provided by
economists surveyed by MNI.
     Thursday, Feb. 14, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Wednesday, Feb. 13): The Cabinet
Office releases preliminary Q4 GDP. The median forecasts are in
quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private
inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.
Data                 Median  Previous
-------------------------------------
GDP q/q                 0.3      -0.6
GDP Annualized          1.2      -2.5
Consumption             0.6      -0.2
Capex                   2.0      -2.8
Public Investment      -1.0      -2.0
Private Inventories    -0.1       0.0
Net Exports            -0.4      -0.1
                                 GDP
--------------------------------------------------
                               % Q/Q  % Annualized
Median Forecast                  0.3           1.2
High Forecast                    0.5           2.0
Low Forecast                     0.1           0.3
Previous                        -0.6          -2.5
Standard Deviation               0.1           0.5
No. of Responses                   8             8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM               0.5           2.0
SMBC Nikko Securities            0.4           1.5
Japan Research                   0.4           1.4
NLI                              0.3           1.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley    0.2           1.0
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C             0.2           0.9
Daiwa Institute of Research      0.2           0.7
Mitsubishi Research              0.1           0.3
                               Consumption  Capex  Public Works
-----------------------------------------------------------------
                                     % Q/Q  % Q/Q         % Q/Q
Median Forecast                        0.6    2.0          -1.0
High Forecast                          0.9    2.9          -0.3
Low Forecast                           0.4    1.5          -2.3
Previous                              -0.2   -2.8          -2.0
Standard Deviation                     0.2    0.4           0.6
No. of Responses                         8      8             8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM                     0.8    1.8          -2.3
SMBC Nikko Securities                  0.9    2.1          -0.5
Japan Research                         0.8    2.9          -1.0
NLI                                    0.6    2.3          -0.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley          0.4    1.9          -1.5
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C                   0.6    2.3          -1.5
Daiwa Institute of Research            0.5    1.8          -0.9
Mitsubishi Research                    0.5    1.5          -0.3
                                Private Inventories            Net Export
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                               % Point Contribution  % Point Contribution
Median Forecast                                -0.1                  -0.4
High Forecast                                   0.0                  -0.1
Low Forecast                                   -0.1                  -0.5
Previous                                        0.0                  -0.1
Standard Deviation                              0.1                   0.1
No. of Responses                                  8                     8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM                              0.0                  -0.3
SMBC Nikko Securities                          -0.1                  -0.5
Japan Research                                 -0.1                  -0.5
NLI                                            -0.1                  -0.3
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley                  -0.1                  -0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ R & C                            0.0                  -0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research                    -0.1                  -0.3
Mitsubishi Research                             0.0                  -0.4
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MAJDS$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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