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MNI: Japan Revised GDP For July-September-Survey Table

(MNI) Tokyo
TOKYO (MNI)

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's revised gross domestic product for the July-September quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.

Wednesday, December 8, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Tuesday, Dec. 7): The Cabinet Office releases revised (second preliminary) Q3 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

MedianPrevious
GDP q/q-0.8-0.8
GDP Annualized-3.3-3.0
Consumption-1.1-1.1
Capex-4.1-3.8
Public Investment-2.0-1.5
Private Inventories0.40.3
Net Exports0.10.1
GDP
%Q/Q%Annualized
Median Forecast-0.8-3.3
High Forecast-0.4-1.5
Low Forecast-0.9-3.5
Previous-0.8-3.0
Standard Deviation0.20.8
No. of Responses66
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C-0.4-1.5
Mizuho Research-0.7-2.8
Sumitomo Mitsui AM-0.8-3.2
NLI-0.8-3.3
SMBC Nikko-0.9-3.4
BNP Paribas-0.9-3.5
Consumption CapexPublic Works
%Q/Q%Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast-1.1-4.1-2.0
High Forecast-1.0-2.0-1.5
Low Forecast-1.1-4.4-2.7
Previous-1.1-3.8-1.5
Standard Deviation0.00.90.4
No. of Responses666
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C-1.1-2.0-2.0
Mizuho Research-1.0-3.4-2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui AM-1.1-3.9-1.5
NLI-1.1-4.3-2.0
SMBC Nikko-1.1-4.3-2.0
BNP Paribas-1.1-4.4-2.2
Private InventoriesNet Exports
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast0.40.1
High Forecast0.40.1
Low Forecast0.30.1
Previous0.30.1
Standard Deviation0.10.0
No. of Responses66
Mitsubishi UFJ R&C0.40.1
Mizuho Research0.30.1
Sumitomo Mitsui AM0.40.1
NLI0.40.1
SMBC Nikko0.30.1
BNP Paribas0.30.1
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com

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