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MNI DATA SURVEY: Japan October-December Quarter Revised GDP

(MNI) Tokyo
TOKYO (MNI)

The following are the median forecasts for Japan's revised (second preliminary) gross domestic product for the October-December quarter provided by economists surveyed by MNI.

Wednesday, March 9, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Tuesday, March 8): The Cabinet Office releases revised (second preliminary) Q4 GDP. The median forecasts are in quarter-on-quarter percentage changes, except for the contributions of private inventories and net exports, which are in percentage points.

DataMedianPrevious
GDP q/q1.31.3
GDP Annualized5.55.4
Consumption2.72.7
Capex0.70.4
Public Investment-4.0-3.3
Private Inventories-0.1-0.1
Net Exports0.20.2
GDP
%Q/Q%Annualized
Median Forecast1.35.5
High Forecast1.45.7
Low Forecast1.35.4
Previous1.35.4
Standard Deviation0.00.1
No. of Responses66
SMBC Nikko1.35.4
BNP Paribas1.35.4
NLI1.35.5
Mizuho R&T1.35.5
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley1.35.5
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM1.45.7
Consumption CapexPublic Works
%Q/Q%Q/Q% Q/Q
Median Forecast2.70.7-4.0
High Forecast2.71.0-3.7
Low Forecast2.70.6-4.1
Previous2.70.4-3.3
Standard Deviation0.00.10.1
No. of Responses666
SMBC Nikko2.70.7-4.0
BNP Paribas2.70.6-4.1
NLI2.70.6-3.8
Mizuho R&T2.70.7-3.9
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley2.70.7-3.7
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM2.71.0-4.0
Private InventoriesNet Exports
% Point Contribution% Point Contribution
Median Forecast-0.10.2
High Forecast-0.10.2
Low Forecast-0.10.2
Previous-0.10.2
Standard Deviation0.00.0
No. of Responses66
SMBC Nikko-0.10.2
BNP Paribas-0.10.2
NLI-0.10.2
Mizuho R&T-0.10.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley-0.10.2
Sumitomo Mitsui DS AM-0.10.2
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
DataData TablePolicy NewsHomepageFiscalGovernment sectorAPACForecast TableJapanBank of JapanPolitical RiskStoryRegionCentral Bank News
MNI Tokyo Bureau | +81 90-2175-0040 | hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
DataData TablePolicy NewsHomepageFiscalGovernment sectorAPACForecast TableJapanBank of JapanPolitical RiskStoryRegionCentral Bank News

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