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Free AccessMNI BRIEF: China November PMI Rises Further Above 50
MNI US Macro Weekly: Politics To The Fore
MNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
10 May 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Immediate Focus On Sgd1.3494-1.3538
*RES 4: Sgd1.3607 - 200-WMA
*RES 3: Sgd1.3538 - High Dec 8
*RES 2: Sgd1.3496 - High Dec 18
*RES 1: Sgd1.3494 - 55-WMA
*PRICE: Sgd1.3461 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3415 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3380 - 200-DMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3373 - High May 7 now support
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3285 - Low May 4
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort as the pair gains traction above the 200-DMA
with immediate focus now on Sgd1.3494-1.3538 where the 55-WMA is noted. O/B
studies remain the key concern for bulls as support layers accumulate. Bears now
need a close below Sgd1.3373 to confirm an easing of bullish pressure and to
shift focus back to Sgd1.3173-1.3285 where 21, 55 & 100-DMAs are situated.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Broad Sideways Trading Continues
*RES 4: Krw1094.8 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: Krw1087.6 - High Mar 1
*RES 2: Krw1085.5 - High Mar 23
*RES 1: Krw1082.7 - High May 9
*PRICE: Krw1078.0 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1073.3 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Krw1070.7 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Krw1066.5 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 4: Krw1064.9 - Low Apr 30
*COMMENTARY: Broad sideways trading Krw1052.0-1087.6 continues with the focus
shifting back to the upper end of this region following last Wednesday's rally.
Bulls look for a close above Krw1087.6 to break free of the range and initially
target Krw1094.8-1098.4 where 2018 highs and the 200-DMA are located. Bears now
look for a close below Krw1064.9 to shift focus back to the lower end of the
defining Krw1052.0-1087.6 range.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Myr3.9250
*RES 4: Myr4.0450 - Monthly Low Dec 5 now resistance
*RES 3: Myr4.0260 - High Jan 3
*RES 2: Myr3.9932 - 200-WMA
*RES 1: Myr3.9830 - Low Jan 8 now resistance
*PRICE: Myr3.9480 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.9250 - High Mar 16 now support
*SUP 2: Myr3.9094 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Myr3.9007 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Myr3.8890 - Low Apr 20
*COMMENTARY: The recovery from 2018 lows sees the pair gaining traction above
the 100-DMA (Myr3.9265) with focus now on tests of the 200-WMA. Bulls now need a
close above the 200-WMA to shift focus to Myr4.0260-0639 where the 200-DMA is
noted. O/B studies are the key concern for bulls. Bears now look for a close
below Myr3.9250 to ease bullish pressure and below Myr3.8890 to shift focus back
to 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Cnh6.3870
*RES 4: Cnh6.4851 - 200-DMA
*RES 3: Cnh6.4475 - High Jan 16
*RES 2: Cnh6.4140 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*RES 1: Cnh6.3870 - Low Jan 19 now resistance
*PRICE: Cnh6.3641 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3523 - 100-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.3402 - Low May 3
*SUP 3: Cnh6.3268 - High Apr 30 now support
*SUP 4: Cnh6.3102 - 55-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Bulls have failed to capitalise on the closes above the 100-DMA
with the pair rejected ahead of the key Cnh6.3870 resistance. Bulls continue to
look for a close above this level to shift focus to Cnh6.4475-4969 where the
200-WMA & 200-DMA are located. Bears now need a close below Cnh6.3402 to gain
breathing room and below Cnh6.2913 to confirm breaks of 21 & 55-DMAs and to
shift initial focus back to 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Php52.170
*RES 4: Php52.483 - High Apr 24
*RES 3: Php52.352 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Php52.170 - Low Apr 25 now resistance
*RES 1: Php52.044 - High May 9
*PRICE: Php51.973 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.809 - Low May 8
*SUP 2: Php51.538 - Low May 4
*SUP 3: Php51.527 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Php51.400 - Low Feb 9
*COMMENTARY: Follow through on pops above 21 & 55-DMAs remains lacking although
bulls take comfort in support layers building. Bears now look for a close below
Php51.809 to ease pressure on DMAs and shift focus back to Php51.248-538 where
100 & 200-DMAs are located. Bulls continue to look for a close above Php52.170
to end bearish hopes and return initial focus to 2018 highs.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Bulls Focused On 200-DMA
*RES 4: Thb32.76 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: Thb32.58 - 2018 High Jan 2
*RES 2: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now support
*RES 1: Thb32.32 - 200-DMA
*PRICE: Thb32.12 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb32.06 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*SUP 2: Thb31.98 - High May 8 now support
*SUP 3: Thb31.80 - High May 7 now support
*SUP 4: Thb31.58 - Low May 3
*COMMENTARY: Gains have defined the week so far with immediate bullish focus now
on Thb32.32-39 where the 200-DMA is located. Daily studies at O/B levels remain
the key concern for bulls as layers of support accumulating add to confidence.
bears now need a close below Thb31.98 to ease bullish pressure and below
Thb31.80 to shift initial focus back to Thb31.32-60 where 21, 55 & 100-DMAs are
situated.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.