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Free AccessMNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis
14 June 2018
By Kyle Shortland
Please click on this link to access MNI's daily Dollar-Asia FX Technical
Analysis Pdf http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Lacks Follow Through Above 21-DMA
*RES 4: Sgd1.3441 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: Sgd1.3417 - Low May 29 now resistance
*RES 2: Sgd1.3394 - High June 13
*RES 1: Sgd1.3383 - 21-DMA
*PRICE: Sgd1.3354 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3325 - Low June 8
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3285 - Low May 4
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3233 - 100-DMA
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3197 - High Apr 6 now support
*COMMENTARY: Bears take comfort in the lack of follow through on the pop above
the 21-DMA Wednesday that leaves the pair looking a little heavy. Bulls continue
to look for a close above Sgd1.3417 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA, end
bearish hopes and return focus to Sgd1.3497-1.3538. Bears now look for a close
below Sgd1.3285 to confirm a break of the 55-DMA and initial focus on
Sgd1.3173-1.3233 where the 100-DMA is noted.
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: 200-DMA Caps, Confirms Significance
*RES 4: Krw1098.9 - 55-WMA
*RES 3: Krw1098.4 - 2018 High Feb 6
*RES 2: Krw1087.9 - 200-DMA
*RES 1: Krw1086.9 - Bollinger band top
*PRICE: Krw1085.0 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1077.9 - High June 8 now support
*SUP 2: Krw1072.5 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Krw1063.3 - Low May 10
*SUP 4: Krw1058.7 - Low Apr 19
*COMMENTARY: Broad sideways trading continues with the 200-DMA resistance
remaining key topside. Bulls continue to look for a close above the 200-DMA to
confirm a break higher with immediate focus shifting to test of 2018 highs and
the 55-WMA (Krw1098.9). Bears now need a close below Krw1077.9 to gain breathing
room and below the 55-DMA to return focus to Krw1063.3.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: Bulls Focused On 200 DMA & WMAs
*RES 4: Myr4.0450 - Monthly Low Dec 5 now resistance
*RES 3: Myr4.0258 - 200-DMA
*RES 2: Myr4.0140 - High Jan 10
*RES 1: Myr4.0131 - 200-WMA
*PRICE: Myr3.9920 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr3.9774 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Myr3.9620 - Low May 22
*SUP 3: Myr3.9400 - Low May 14
*SUP 4: Myr3.9250 - High Mar 16 now support
*COMMENTARY: The 21-DMA has supported the past couple of weeks resulting in a
break of Myr3.9930 and bulls focusing on Myr4.0131-0258 where 200-DMA and WMAs
are situated. Daily studies have room to move before O/B is an issue although
the Bollinger top (Myr3.9926) limits follow through. Bears continue to look for
a close below Myr3.9620 to confirm a break of the 21-DMA, easing bullish
pressure, and below the 100-DMA (Myr3.91784 to hint at a move back to 2018 lows.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Flirting With 21-DMA
*RES 4: Cnh6.4475 - High Jan 16
*RES 3: Cnh6.4322 - High May 30
*RES 2: Cnh6.4179 - High June 4
*RES 1: Cnh6.4096 - High June 5
*PRICE: Cnh6.3879 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.3875 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.3642 - High May 22 now support
*SUP 3: Cnh6.3396 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Cnh6.3301 - 21-WMA
*COMMENTARY: Pressure has returned to the 21-DMA with the rally having stalled
ahead of the 200-DMA for now. Bears now look for a close below Cnh6.3642 to
confirm a break of the 21-DMA and to shift initial focus back to 6.3268-3396
where 55 & 100-DMAs and the 21-WMA are located. Bulls now need a close above
Cnh6.4096 to gain breathing room and above Cnh6.4322 to reconfirm focus on
200-DMA and WMAs Cnh6.4525-5021.
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Php52.773
*RES 4: Php53.990 - 2006 High June 16
*RES 3: Php53.620 - High June 29 2006
*RES 2: Php53.440 - Low June 28 2006 now resistance
*RES 1: Php53.299 - 2018 High June 13
*PRICE: Php53.275 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php53.147 - High June 12 now support
*SUP 2: Php52.945 - Low June 12
*SUP 3: Php52.773 - High May 30 now support
*SUP 4: Php52.490 - Low June 8
*COMMENTARY: Fresh 2018 & nearly 12 year highs continue with bulls now focused
on Php53.440-990 where levels last seen in June 2006 are located. Daily studies
have room to move before O/B is an issue although the Bollinger top (Php53.230)
is a concern and currently limits follow through. Initial support is noted at
Php53.147 with bears needing a close below to gain breathing room and below
Php52.773 to shift focus to Php52.056-490.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Flirting With 200-DMA
*RES 4: Thb32.58 - 2018 High Jan 2
*RES 3: Thb32.39 - Low Jan 2 now support
*RES 2: Thb32.20 - High June 13
*RES 1: Thb32.18 - Bollinger band top
*PRICE: Thb32.12 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb32.04 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Thb31.92 - Low June 11
*SUP 3: Thb31.82 - Low May 28
*SUP 4: Thb31.75 - Low May 14
*COMMENTARY: Bulls gain confidence as pressure returns to the 200-DMA this week.
Bulls now look for a close above Thb32.20 to confirm a break of the 200-DMA and
shift immediate focus to Thb32.39-58 and overall focus to Thb32.92. Layers of
support remain with bears needing a close below the 21-DMA to ease pressure on
the 200-DMA and below Thb31.75 to see focus return to Thb31.54-69 where 55 &
100-DMAs are situated.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Bulls Need Close Above Idr13965
*RES 4: Idr14110 - Alternating daily support/resistance
*RES 3: Idr14080 - High May 28 now support
*RES 2: Idr13997 - 21-DMA
*RES 1: Idr13965 - Low May 30 now resistance
*PRICE: Idr13925 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13914 - 55-DMA
*SUP 2: Idr13830 - Low June 6
*SUP 3: Idr13800 - High Mar 1 now support
*SUP 4: Idr13791 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Bulls take comfort in the close above the 55-DMA Friday easing
bearish pressure and becoming a concern for bears when combined with correcting
O/S daily studies. Bulls look for a close above Idr13965 to hint at a correction
back to Idr14080-14110 with above the 21-DMA to confirm. Bears now look for a
close back below the 55-DMA to retain focus on Idr13791-13800 where the 100-DMA
is located.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.