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Free AccessMNI Dollar-Asia Morning FX Technical Analysis Now With USD/INR
31 October 2017
By Kyle Shortland
Click below for today's MNI FX Technical Analysis Report -
http://tinyurl.com/pzkomnu
DOLLAR-SING TECHS: Sgd1.3552-92 Support Region Key
*RES 4: Sgd1.3720 - High July 17
*RES 3: Sgd1.3689 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Sgd1.3677 - Hourly resistance Oct 27
*RES 1: Sgd1.3641 - Hourly resistance Oct 30
*PRICE: Sgd1.3605 @ 2200GMT
*SUP 1: Sgd1.3592 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Sgd1.3559 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Sgd1.3552 - Daily Bull channel base
*SUP 4: Sgd1.3484 - Low Oct 13
*COMMENTARY: The 21-DMA supported last week and provided the base for a bounce
towards Sgd1.3720 only to be rejected and lack follow through. The pair remains
heavy with focus back on Sgd1.3552-92 where the daily bull channel base, 21 &
55-DMAs are located following the close below the 100-DMA (Sgd1.3634). Bears
need a close below the channel base to shift immediate focus to Sgd1.3484 and
overall focus back to tests of 2017 lows (Sgd1.3343).
DOLLAR-WON TECHS: Looking Heavy Again, Krw1119.0 Support Key
*RES 4: Krw1135.0 - High Oct 23
*RES 3: Krw1132.9 - 21-DMA
*RES 2: Krw1132.0 - 55-DMA
*RES 1: Krw1126.8 - High Oct 30
*PRICE: Krw1124.6 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Krw1121.2 - Low Aug 30
*SUP 2: Krw1120.7 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Krw1119.8 - 200-WMA
*SUP 4: Krw1119.0 - Low Aug 28
*COMMENTARY: Gapping moves continue with the pair again looking heavy following
last week's topside failures ahead of key DMAs with focus back to layers of
support Krw1119.0-1121.2 where the 200-WMA is located. Bears continue to look
for a close below Krw1119.0 to confirm focus on tests of 2017 lows (Krw1110.5).
Bulls now look for a close above Krw1126.8 to gain breathing room and hint at a
bounce back to the 55-DMA.
DOLLAR-MYR TECHS: 100-DMA Capped Last Week
*RES 4: Myr4.2860 - High Aug 30
*RES 3: Myr4.2680 - High Sept 5
*RES 2: Myr4.2593 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Myr4.2558 - High Oct 26
*PRICE: Myr4.2380 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Myr4.2100 - Low Oct 30
*SUP 2: Myr4.2062 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 3: Myr4.1940 - Low Oct 13
*SUP 4: Myr4.1870 - Low Sept 20
*COMMENTARY: The 100-DMA caped rallies last week with bulls needing a close
above Myr4.2680 to confirm a break and hint at a move back to Myr4.3112-3282
where the 200-DMA is noted. Bulls look for a close above My4.2860 to add support
to their case. Bears now look for a close below Myr4.2100 to shift focus back to
Myr4.1800-1940 following the lack of downside follow through Friday & Monday.
DOLLAR-CNH TECHS: Bears Need Close Below Cnh6.5923
*RES 4: Cnh6.6904 - High Oct 3
*RES 3: Cnh6.6823 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Cnh6.6795 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Cnh6.6651 - High Oct 27
*PRICE: Cnh6.6359 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Cnh6.6209 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Cnh6.6075 - 55-DMA
*SUP 3: Cnh6.5923 - High Oct 11 now support
*SUP 4: Cnh6.5568 - Low Oct 11
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies correcting from modestly O/B is a concern for bulls
especially given hesitation ahead of the 100-DMA. Layers of support remain but
bears need a close below Cnh6.5923 to confirm breaks of 21 & 55-DMAs, easing
renewed bullish pressure, and below Cnh6.5568 to initially pressure Cnh6.5053.
The Cnh6.6904 resistance remains key with bulls needing a close above to
reconfirm a bullish bias and target the 200-DMA (Cnh6.7707).
DOLLAR-PHP TECHS: Looking A Little Heavy
*RES 4: Php52.560 - Low July 18 2006 now resistance
*RES 3: Php52.431 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 2: Php52.085 - Monthly Low July 10 2006 now resistance
*RES 1: Php51.850 - 2017 High Oct 27
*PRICE: Php51.610 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Php51.363 - 21-DMA
*SUP 2: Php51.350 - Low Oct 18
*SUP 3: Php51.161 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Php50.983 - Daily Bull channel base
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies at O/B levels and the Bollinger top (Php51.885)
recently capping appear to be impacting with the pair looking a little heavy
after trading at fresh 2017 highs last week. Focus now shifts to 21 & 55-DMAs.
Bulls now need a close above 2017 highs to reconfirm the bullish bias and
initially focus on tests of Php52.085.
DOLLAR-THB TECHS: Thb33.10 Support Now Key
*RES 4: Thb33.54 - High Oct 3
*RES 3: Thb33.42 - Bollinger band top
*RES 2: Thb33.41 - 100-DMA
*RES 1: Thb33.35 - High Oct 27
*PRICE: Thb33.21 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Thb33.10 - Low Oct 26
*SUP 2: Thb33.01 - 2017 Low Sept 7 & 8, Oct 16
*SUP 3: Thb32.98 - Monthly Low May 1 2015
*SUP 4: Thb32.52 - Low Apr 27 2015
*COMMENTARY: The break of Thb33.25 has so far lacked follow through but is
enough to see bulls now focused on Thb33.35-41 where the 100-DMA is located.
Bears now need a close below Thb35.10 to confirm a false break higher and see
immediate focus return to 2017 lows and the Thb32.98-33.01 region as a whole.
Narrowing Bollinger bands are hinting at a break out.
DOLLAR-IDR TECHS: Daily Studies Correcting From O/B
*RES 4: Idr13813 - Daily Bull channel top
*RES 3: Idr13698 - Monthly High June 2 2016
*RES 2: Idr13640 - 2017 High Oct 27
*RES 1: Idr13605 - High Oct 30
*PRICE: Idr13580 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Idr13570 - Low Oct 30
*SUP 2: Idr13524 - 21-DMA
*SUP 3: Idr13500 - Low Oct 23
*SUP 4: Idr13455 - Low Oct 5
*COMMENTARY: Daily studies now correcting from O/B are a key concern for bulls
and see pressure back on the daily bull channel base (Idr13586). Bears need a
close below Idr13570 to confirm a break and shift immediate focus to the 21-DMA
and overall focus to the Idr13455 support. Bulls now need a close above 2017
highs to reconfirm a bullish bias and target the bull channel top.
DOLLAR-INR TECHS: Topside Failures Taking Their Toll
*RES 4: Inr65.619 - Bollinger band top
*RES 3: Inr65.413 - High Oct 9
*RES 2: Inr65.222 - 200-DMA
*RES 1: Inr65.045 - Daily Bear channel top
*PRICE: Inr64.850 @ 2300GMT
*SUP 1: Inr64.685 - Low Oct 16
*SUP 2: Inr64.644 - Bollinger band base
*SUP 3: Inr64.526 - 55-DMA
*SUP 4: Inr64.463 - 100-DMA
*COMMENTARY: Having remained capped ahead of the 21 (Inr65.131) and 200-DMAs on
the recovery from Inr64.685 the pair is looking heavy with immediate focus on
Inr64.685. Bears need a close below to ease bullish pressure and to shift focus
to Inr64.232-526 where 55 & 100-DMAs and the bear channel base are situated. The
Bollinger base is the key concern for bears. Bulls need a close above the
200-DMA to end bearish hopes and shift focus back to Inr65.413-890.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +44 207-862-7435; email: kyle.shortland@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.