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MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): German "Short" Theme

Structural positioning across most of the European futures space remains flat-to-short. Friday May 7's post-BoE and (very poor) US jobs report activity saw large moves in OAT and Gilt open interest, and overall, lots of short-setting. But for the week as a whole, it was mostly a case of longs being set.

FOR FULL ANALYSIS(alternatively use following link:)

MNIPi10May2021.pdf

  • GERMANY: The theme in German futures remains ""short"" (across Schatz, Bobl and Bund), with Buxl going from long to flat over the past 3 weeks. Longs set in all contracts over the past week, apart from Schatz (longs reduced). On Friday, Bund and Buxl saw shorts set, with Bobl and Schatz seeing longs reduced.
  • OAT: Positioning has remained steadfastly flat in 2021, though longs were set last week. Friday saw a +2.4% rise in OI (biggest in 1 day since Sep 2020), with shorts set.
  • GILT: Likewise flat but saw the biggest 1-day drop in OI since Apr 7 (-1.2%), amid further short cover (in line with the past week's overall position setting).
  • BTP: Futures positioning remains flat, and it's largely been unchanged all year. Shorts were set on Friday, in keeping with the week-long theme.


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