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MNI European Morning Briefing

     LONDON (MNI) - The first release from Europe on Tuesday is preliminary
French GDP data at 0630GMT.
     This is swiftly followed by multiple releases from France at 0745GMT in the
form of HICP, PPI and Consumer Spending.
     At 1000GMT Eurozone Unemployment data is published. At the same time
preliminary Eurozone GDP and HICP are released.
     HICP is expected to drop slightly to 1.4% from 1.5% previously, downside is
expected to be moderated by gains in energy prices.
     GDP is expected to print 0.6% on the quarter, translating to an annual rate
of 2.4%. Upside risks are posed by strength in the industrial sector as
illustrated by PMI's.
     Alongside the Eurozone releases at 1000GMT, Italy will publish their
preliminary HICP data.
     Over in North America the first release of the day comes at 1230GMT in the
form of Employment Cost Index.
     The ECI is expected to rise by 0.7% in the third quarter after a 0.5% gain
in the second quarter. Analysts will watch the year/year rate closely to see if
it moved off the 2.4% rate seen in the previous two quarters.
     Canadian Industrial Product and Raw Material Price Index and Gross Domestic
Product by Industry are also due at 1230GMT.
     At 1255GMT US Redbook Retail Sales Index is published.
     US Milwaukee Manufacturing ISM index is released at 1300GMT alongside the
US S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index.
     At 1345GMT the US MNI Chicago PMI will be published. The index is expected
to slide back to a reading of 59.9 in October after rising sharply to 65.2 in
September. Other regional data already released, however, suggest that growth
accelerated in those areas.
     US Housing Vacancies are on the docket for 1400GMT at the same time as US
Conference Board Consumer Confidence. The index of consumer confidence is
expected to rebound to a reading of 120.9 in October after a small dip to 119.8
in September. The Michigan Sentiment Index rose to 100.7 in October from 95.1 in
the previous month.
     1430GMT sees the release of the US Dallas Fed Services Survey.
     Bundesbank Board member Andreas Dombret will deliver a speech at AHK and
Bombay Stock Exchange, in Mumbai, India at 1630GMT.
     Rounding off the day at 1930GMT, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz and
Sr Deputy Gov Carolyn Wilkins appear before the House of Commons Standing
Committee on Finance.
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3809; email: kieran.williams@marketnews.com

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