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MNI Fed Preview - July 2022: Gaining Optionality

MNI Fed Preview - July 2022: Gaining Optionality

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • With firm consensus for a 75bp Fed hike, focus at the July meeting will be on Powell and the Statement.
  • The key immediate question is the FOMC’s thinking on the magnitude of the next hike.
  • A reduction in the size of hikes is likely starting in September, especially given weakening economic data and the ongoing moderation in inflation expectations.
  • But for now the FOMC is likely to be non-committal, apart from saying it anticipates ongoing hikes are appropriate.

FOR THE FULL PUBLICATION PLEASE USE THE FOLLOWING LINK:

FedPrevJuly2022.pdf


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