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AUSSIE BONDS

U.S. Tsys Drag The Futures Curve Steeper Overnight

NZD

Kiwi Swings To Weekly Gain

US TSYS

Steeper & Cheaper

AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS

(Z1) Bearish Price Sequence

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS

(Z1) Off Recent Highs

ASIA

Coming up in the Asia-Pac session on Friday:

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  • The net speculative position on USD have been rising sharply in recent weeks as uncertainty over the Delta variant has been surging; net contracts increased by 72K in the past month to a total of 28.9K in the week ending August 3.
  • This has boosted the USD Positioning Indicator to its highest level in over two years – mirrored in new cycle lows for positioning across AUD, EUR, GBP and CAD.
  • The slow vaccination campaign in the EM world combined with the rise in political instability could continue to support the greenback against EM currencies in the coming weeks.
  • As the percentage of the population having received at least one dose of the Covid vaccine is much lower across emerging markets, the probability of a renewed period of lockdowns imposed by governments to fight the pandemic has been consistently rising.

Full MNI FX Positioning Indicator document here:

MNIFXPositioningIndicator0908.pdf