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MNI GLOBAL MORNING BRIEFING: German Inflation in Focus

Wednesday sees the ECB Sintra meeting continue, with policymakers also given a first glimpse at June inflation data.

MNI's June China Liquidity Index is expected to confirm a modest tightening in conditions in the liquidity markets as we move into the half-year end. Last month. the index stood at 12.5 - on a reading of 0 to 100, the lower end represents looser conditions.

The first sight of euro zone member state inflation readings come Wednesday, as we see Spanish, German state and then German federal CPI.

Spanish June data, expected at 0800GMT, will likely show a pick up 8.8% y/y from 8.7% in May. On a harmonized reading, inflation is set to hit 8.7% from 8.5%. German state inflation will be mixed, but analysts see overall German CPI flatlining at 7.9%, while HICP will edge higher by 0.1% y/y to 8.8%.

Euro area M3 money supply, due at 0900BST, is expected to have slowed further in May, dropping to 5.8% from 6% in April.

The latest eurozone confidence data, due at 1000BST, will likely show the area's sentiment index dipped to 102.5 from 105 last month.

LIGHT US DATA

Its a light US data calendar, but the main release sees the revised release of Q1 GDP data, which is seen being confirmed at -1.5%.

There is another full day of policymaker speeches as the ECB's summer Sintra symposium continues. Amongst the speakers are VP Luis de Guindos and Exec Board member Isabel Schnabel,. The set piece event at Sintra sees ECB President Christine Lagarde sit down with Fed chair Jay Powell and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey. Other Fed speakers Wednesday include Cleveland Fed president Loretta Mester and St Louis Fed President Jim Bullard.


DateGMT/LocalImpactFlagCountryEvent
29/06/20220600/1400**CN MNI China Liquidity Suvey
29/06/20220700/0900***ES HICP (p)
29/06/20220700/0900**SE Economic Tendency Indicator
29/06/20220700/0900ES Spain Retail sales
29/06/20220745/0945EUECB de Guindos on Real Estate Cycles at ECB Forum
29/06/20220800/1000***DE Bavaria CPI
29/06/20220800/1000**EU M3
29/06/20220845/1045EUECB de Guindos on Global Value Chains & Trade at ECB Forum
29/06/20220900/1100***DE Saxony CPI
29/06/20220900/1100**EU Economic Sentiment Indicator
29/06/20220900/1100*EU Consumer Confidence, Industrial Sentiment
29/06/20220900/1100*EU Business Climate Indicator
29/06/20221015/1215EUECB Schnabel on Inflation Expectations at ECB Forum
29/06/20221030/0630USCleveland Fed's Loretta Mester speaking at ECB forum
29/06/20221100/0700**US MBA Weekly Applications Index
29/06/20221200/1400***DE HICP (p)
29/06/20221230/0830***US GDP (3rd)
29/06/20221300/0900USFed Chair Jerome Powell speaking at ECB forum
29/06/20221300/1500EUECB Lagarde pm Monetary Policy Challenges
29/06/20221300/1400UKBOE Bailey Panels ECB Forum
29/06/20221430/1030**US DOE weekly crude oil stocks
29/06/20221500/1700EUECB Lagarde Closing Remarks at ECB Forum
29/06/20221530/1130*US US Treasury Auction Result for Cash Management Bill
29/06/20221705/1305US St. Louis Fed's James Bullard
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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