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MNI GLOBAL WEEK AHEAD: EZ inflation and US jobs in focus

Eurozone inflation seen higher (Weds 1000BST)

Headline inflation is seen edging higher in August, further underlining the challenges facing the ECB ahead of the Sept 8 Governing Council meeting. Analysts expected the headline rate to edge up to 9.1% from July's 8.9%, with core rising to 4.2%.

US NFP seen adding 300,000 jobs in August (Friday 1330BST)

U.S. nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise 300,000 in August, with wages expected to rise 0.5% m/m and 5.4% y/y. Nominal wage growth has been strong in the tight labour market, analysts noted, boosted by the 3.25 million nonfarm jobs added to payrolls so far in 2022r.

Some indicators point to slowing momentum, with job openings -- often a precursor to weakening payrolls -- declining. The data will undoubtedly be closely watched by the Fed, although the Sept 13 CPI data is likely to be of greater importance.

Quieter week for central banks

No major central bank announcements in the coming week, although the Hungarian central bank meet Tuesday.

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
29/08/20220130/1130**AugAURetail Trade m/m0.20.3%
29/08/20220600/0800***Q2SEGDP q/q-0.81.4%
29/08/20220600/0800***Q2SEGDP y/y3.0--%
29/08/20220600/0800**JulSERetail Sales y/y-3.6--%
29/08/20221430/1030**AugUSDallas Fed manufacturing index-22.6-12.2
29/08/20221530/1130*02-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
29/08/20221530/1130*02-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
30/08/20220130/1130*AugAUTotal Dwellings Approved m/m-0.7-3.0%
30/08/20220700/0900**AugSEEconomic Tendency Indicator101.3--
30/08/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (p) m/m-0.60.2%
30/08/20220700/0900***AugESHICP (p) y/y10.710.5%
30/08/20220800/1000***JulDEBavaria CPI m/m1.0--%
30/08/20220800/1000***JulDEBavaria CPI y/y8.0--%
30/08/20220830/0930**AugUKM4 Money Supply m/m-0.3--%
30/08/20220830/0930**AugUKM4 Money Supply y/y4.1--%
30/08/20220830/0930**AugUKMortgage Approvals (BOE)63726.062000
30/08/20220830/0930**AugUKNet Consumer Credit (BOE)1.7811.5GBP (b)
30/08/20220830/0930**AugUKNet Lending On Dwellings5.2735.1GBP (b)
30/08/20220900/1100***JulDESaxony CPI m/m0.6--%
30/08/20220900/1100***JulDESaxony CPI y/y7.2--%
30/08/20220900/1100**AugEUEconomic Sentiment Indicator99.098.0
30/08/20220900/1100*AugEUConsumer Confidence----
30/08/20220900/1100*AugEUIndustrial Sentiment----
30/08/20220900/1100*AugEUBusiness Climate Indicator----
30/08/20221200/1400***AugDEHICP (p) m/m0.80.3%
30/08/20221200/1400***AugDEHICP (p) y/y8.58.7%
30/08/20221230/0830*Q2CACurrent account----CAD (b)
30/08/20221255/0855**27-AugUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)12.2--%
30/08/20221255/0855**27-AugUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)13.5--%
30/08/20221300/0900**JunUSCase-Shiller Home Price Index----
30/08/20221300/0900**JunUSFHFA Home Price Index m/m1.40.8%
30/08/20221300/0900**JunUSPrior Revised HPI % Chge mm SA1.5--%
30/08/20221300/0900**Q2USFHFA Quarterly Home Prices q/q4.58--%
30/08/20221400/1000***AugUSConference Board confidence97.495.7
30/08/20221400/1000***AugUSPrevious Consumer Confidence Index Revised----
30/08/20221400/1000**JunUSJOLTS job openings level1069810300 (k)
30/08/20221400/1000**JunUSJOLTS quits rate2.8--%
31/08/20222301/0001*AugUKBRC Shop Price Index m/m0.7--%
31/08/20222301/0001*AugUKBRC Shop Price Index y/y4.4--%
31/08/20220130/1130***Q2AUConstruction Work Done q/q-0.90.8%
31/08/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP m/m (p)0.30.5%
31/08/20220645/0845***AugFRHICP y/y (p)6.86.7%
31/08/20220645/0845**JulFRPPI m/m1.3--%
31/08/20220645/0845**JulFRPPI y/y27.0--%
31/08/20220645/0845***Q2FRGDP (f) q/q0.5p0.5%
31/08/20220645/0845***Q2FRGDP (f) y/y4.2p4.2%
31/08/20220645/0845**JulFRConsumer Spending y/y-4.4--%
31/08/20220645/0845**JulFRConsumer Spending m/m0.2-0.3%
31/08/20220700/0900*AugCHKOF Economic Barometer90.188.4
31/08/20220755/0955**AugDEUnemployment Change m/m48.024.0
31/08/20220755/0955**AugDEUnemployment Rate5.45.5%
31/08/20220900/1100***AugITHICP (p) m/m-1.10.0%
31/08/20220900/1100***AugITHICP (p) y/y8.48.2%
31/08/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (p) 'core' y/y4.04.2%
31/08/20220900/1100***AugEUHICP (p) y/y8.99.0%
31/08/20221100/0700**26-AugUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-1.2--%
31/08/20221215/0815***JulUSADP Private Payrolls---- (k)
31/08/20221230/0830***Q2CAGDP m/m0.7--%
31/08/20221230/0830***Q2CAGDP q/q annualized3.1--%
31/08/20221345/0945**AugUSMNI Chicago PMI52.153.1
31/08/20221430/1030**26-AugUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w-3.282--bbl (m)
31/08/20221430/1030**26-AugUSDistillate Stocks w/w change-0.662--bbl (m)
31/08/20221430/1030**26-AugUSGasoline Stocks w/w change-0.027--bbl (m)
01/09/20222300/0900**JulAUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)54.5--
01/09/20220030/0930**AugJPIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/09/20220130/1130*Q3AUTotal New Capital Expn % SA Q/Q-0.31.0%
01/09/20220130/1130**SepAUNew Home Loans m/m-3.3-2.8%
01/09/20220145/0945**AugCNIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/09/20220630/0830***AugCHCPI m/m0.00.2%
01/09/20220630/0830***AugCHCPI y/y3.43.4%
01/09/20220630/0830**JulCHRetail Sales m/m0.1--%
01/09/20220630/0830**JulCHRetail Sales wda y/y1.2--%
01/09/20220715/0915**AugESIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)48.748.5
01/09/20220745/0945**AugITIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)48.548.1
01/09/20220750/0950**AugFRIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)49.0p49.0
01/09/20220755/0955**AugDEIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)49.8f49.8
01/09/20220800/1000**AugEUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (f)----
01/09/20220830/0930**AugUKIHS Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI (Final)46.0p--
01/09/20220900/1000**02-SepUKBid to Cover Ratio----
01/09/2022-***AugUSNA-made light vehicle sales SAAR---- (m)
01/09/20221230/0830*JulCABuilding Permits----%
01/09/20221230/0830**27-AugUSContinuing Claims1415.0-- (k)
01/09/20221230/0830**27-AugUSInitial Jobless Claims243.0-- (k)
01/09/20221230/0830**27-AugUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1434.0-- (k)
01/09/20221230/0830**27-AugUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev245.0-- (k)
01/09/20221230/0830**Q2USnon-farm productivity (f)-4.6-4.6%
01/09/20221230/0830**Q2USunit labor costs (f)12.6--%
01/09/20221345/0945***AugUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (final)51.3p51.3
01/09/20221400/1000***AugUSISM Manufacturing Index52.852.1
01/09/20221400/1000*JulUSConstruction Spending m/m-1.1-0.1%
01/09/20221430/1030**26-AugUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w60.0--Bcf
02/09/20220600/0800**JulDETrade balance exports m/m----%
02/09/20220600/0800**JulDETrade balance imports m/m----%
02/09/20220600/0800**JulDETrade balance m/m----E (b)
02/09/20220900/1100**JulEUPPI m/m1.12.5%
02/09/20220900/1100**JulEUPPI y/y35.835.8%
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830**01-SepUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSAverage Hourly Earnings, m/m0.50.4%
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSAverage Workweek, All Workers34.634.6hrs
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSNonfarm Payrolls528.0300 (k)
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPrev Nonfarm Payrolls, Rev398.0-- (k)
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSPrivate Payrolls471.0300 (k)
02/09/20221230/0830***AugUSUnemployment Rate3.53.5%
02/09/20221400/1000**JulUSFactory New Orders2.0--%
02/09/20221400/1000**JulUSFactory Orders ex-transport1.4--%
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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