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Free AccessMNI Japan Survey: Nov CPI, Spending, Jobs, Output, Retail
TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due in this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date JST/GMT Data Month Median Previous
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue, Dec 26 0830/2330 National Core CPI Nov 0.8 % y/y 0.8
Tue, Dec 26 0830/2330 Tokyo Core CPI Dec 0.6 % y/y 0.6
Tue, Dec 26 0830/2330 Household Spending Nov 0.5 % y/y 0.0
Tue, Dec 26 0830/2330 Unemployment Rate Nov 2.8 % 2.8
Thu, Dec 28 0850/2350 Industrial Output Nov 0.5 % m/m 0.5
Thu, Dec 28 0850/2350 Retail Sales Nov 1.3 % y/y -0.2
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
National % y/y Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast 0.8 0.6
High Forecast 0.9 0.8
Low Forecast 0.8 0.6
Previous Month 0.8 0.6
Standard Deviation 0.0 0.1
No. of Responses 14 13
National % y/y Tokyo % y/y
Mizuho Research Institute 0.9 0.8
Barclays Securities 0.9 0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute 0.9 0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.8 na
BNP Paribas 0.8 0.8
Japan Research Institute 0.8 0.7
NLI Research Institute 0.8 0.7
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.8 0.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 0.8 0.6
Hamagin Research Institute 0.8 0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 0.8 0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 0.8 0.6
Nomura Securities 0.8 0.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 0.8 0.6
Real Spending (Households With Two Or More People)
----------------------------------------------------------------
Change y/y %
Median Forecast 0.5
High Forecast 1.4
Low Forecast -0.2
Previous Month 0.0
Standard Deviation 0.5
No. of Responses 14
Change y/y %
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 1.4
Nomura Securities 1.4
BNP Paribas 1.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 1.0
Norinchukin Research Institute 0.9
Barclays Securities 0.5
Japan Research Institute 0.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 0.5
NLI Research Institute 0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 0.4
Mizuho Research Institute 0.2
Hamagin Research Institute -0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research -0.2
Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted)
--------------------------------------------
%
Median Forecast 2.8
High Forecast 2.8
Low Forecast 2.7
Previous Month 2.8
Standard Deviation 0.0
No. of Responses 14
%
Barclays Securities 2.8
BNP Paribas 2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 2.8
Japan Research Institute 2.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 2.8
Mizuho Research Institute 2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 2.8
NLI Research Institute 2.8
Nomura Securities 2.8
Norinchukin Research Institute 2.8
SMBC Nikko Securities 2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research 2.7
Hamagin Research Institute 2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 2.7
Preliminary Industrial Production
-----------------------------------------------------
Change m/m %
Median Forecast 0.5
High Forecast 1.8
Low Forecast -0.3
Previous Month 0.5
Standard Deviation 0.6
No. of Responses 14
Change m/m %
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 1.8
NLI Research Institute 1.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 1.3
Nomura Securities 0.9
SMBC Nikko Securities 0.8
Hamagin Research Institute 0.6
Norinchukin Research Institute 0.5
BNP Paribas 0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research 0.4
Mizuho Research Institute 0.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 0.2
Barclays Securities 0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 0.1
Japan Research Institute -0.3
Preliminary Retail Sales
-----------------------------------------------------
Change y/y %
Median Forecast 1.3
High Forecast 2.4
Low Forecast 0.5
Previous Month -0.2
Standard Deviation 0.6
No. of Responses 10
Change y/y %
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting 2.4
Nomura Securities 2.4
Hamagin Research Institute 1.5
NLI Research Institute 1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management 1.3
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 1.2
Japan Research Institute 1.2
BNP Paribas 0.9
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities 0.6
Mizuho Research Institute 0.5
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.