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MNI Japan Survey: Nov CPI, Spending, Jobs, Output, Retail

MNI (Singapore)
     TOKYO (MNI) - The following are the median forecasts for the key Japanese
data due in this week provided by economists surveyed by MNI.
Date           JST/GMT                 Data   Month   Median          Previous
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tue, Dec 26  0830/2330    National Core CPI     Nov      0.8  % y/y        0.8
Tue, Dec 26  0830/2330       Tokyo Core CPI     Dec      0.6  % y/y        0.6
Tue, Dec 26  0830/2330   Household Spending     Nov      0.5  % y/y        0.0
Tue, Dec 26  0830/2330    Unemployment Rate     Nov      2.8      %        2.8
Thu, Dec 28  0850/2350    Industrial Output     Nov      0.5  % m/m        0.5
Thu, Dec 28  0850/2350         Retail Sales     Nov      1.3  % y/y       -0.2
Consumer Price Index (Excluding Fresh Food)
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                              National % y/y  Tokyo % y/y
Median Forecast                                          0.8          0.6
High Forecast                                            0.9          0.8
Low Forecast                                             0.8          0.6
Previous Month                                           0.8          0.6
Standard Deviation                                       0.0          0.1
No. of Responses                                          14           13
                                              National % y/y  Tokyo % y/y
Mizuho Research Institute                                0.9          0.8
Barclays Securities                                      0.9          0.7
Norinchukin Research Institute                           0.9          0.6
Daiwa Institute of Research                              0.8           na
BNP Paribas                                              0.8          0.8
Japan Research Institute                                 0.8          0.7
NLI Research Institute                                   0.8          0.7
SMBC Nikko Securities                                    0.8          0.7
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                         0.8          0.6
Hamagin Research Institute                               0.8          0.6
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                   0.8          0.6
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                           0.8          0.6
Nomura Securities                                        0.8          0.6
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                         0.8          0.6
Real Spending (Households With Two Or More People)
----------------------------------------------------------------
                                                    Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                              0.5
High Forecast                                                1.4
Low Forecast                                                -0.2
Previous Month                                               0.0
Standard Deviation                                           0.5
No. of Responses                                              14
                                                    Change y/y %
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                             1.4
Nomura Securities                                            1.4
BNP Paribas                                                  1.2
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting                       1.0
Norinchukin Research Institute                               0.9
Barclays Securities                                          0.5
Japan Research Institute                                     0.5
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                               0.5
NLI Research Institute                                       0.5
SMBC Nikko Securities                                        0.5
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                             0.4
Mizuho Research Institute                                    0.2
Hamagin Research Institute                                  -0.1
Daiwa Institute of Research                                 -0.2
Unemployment Rate (Seasonally Adjusted)
--------------------------------------------
                                           %
Median Forecast                          2.8
High Forecast                            2.8
Low Forecast                             2.7
Previous Month                           2.8
Standard Deviation                       0.0
No. of Responses                          14
                                           %
Barclays Securities                      2.8
BNP Paribas                              2.8
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute         2.8
Japan Research Institute                 2.8
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting   2.8
Mizuho Research Institute                2.8
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities           2.8
NLI Research Institute                   2.8
Nomura Securities                        2.8
Norinchukin Research Institute           2.8
SMBC Nikko Securities                    2.8
Daiwa Institute of Research              2.7
Hamagin Research Institute               2.7
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management         2.7
Preliminary Industrial Production
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change m/m %
Median Forecast                                   0.5
High Forecast                                     1.8
Low Forecast                                     -0.3
Previous Month                                    0.5
Standard Deviation                                0.6
No. of Responses                                   14
                                         Change m/m %
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    1.8
NLI Research Institute                            1.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  1.3
Nomura Securities                                 0.9
SMBC Nikko Securities                             0.8
Hamagin Research Institute                        0.6
Norinchukin Research Institute                    0.5
BNP Paribas                                       0.4
Daiwa Institute of Research                       0.4
Mizuho Research Institute                         0.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  0.2
Barclays Securities                               0.1
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            0.1
Japan Research Institute                         -0.3
Preliminary Retail Sales
-----------------------------------------------------
                                         Change y/y %
Median Forecast                                   1.3
High Forecast                                     2.4
Low Forecast                                      0.5
Previous Month                                   -0.2
Standard Deviation                                0.6
No. of Responses                                   10
                                         Change y/y %
Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting            2.4
Nomura Securities                                 2.4
Hamagin Research Institute                        1.5
NLI Research Institute                            1.3
Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management                  1.3
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute                  1.2
Japan Research Institute                          1.2
BNP Paribas                                       0.9
Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities                    0.6
Mizuho Research Institute                         0.5
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: beijing@mni-news.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAJDA$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$]

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