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USD/Asia Pairs Can't Sustain Post BoJ Weakness

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MNI (Beijing)
     TOKYO (MNI) - Some Bank of Japan board members voiced concerns over the
recent weak development in inflation and outlook of the economy, stopping short
of calling for additional easing policy, according to the summary of opinions
expressed at the bank's policy meeting in Oct 30-31.
     "The current situation where the inflation rate doesn't seem to be
accelerating toward 2% should be taken seriously," one member said. 
     "Although Japan's economy has continued its moderate expansion, the
momentum towards expansion has weakened somewhat recently due to effects from
events such as the natural disasters and trade conflicts between the U.S. and
China," another member said.
     However, the board members didn't discuss additional easing policy and
largely shared the view that the BOJ should maintain the current powerful easing
     Other key opinions from the meeting summary:
     --"Against the background of trade frictions and rising U.S. interest
rates, the global economy is beginning to level off. Uncertainties regarding
such developments as protectionist moves and negotiations on the Brexit have
heightened since the previous meeting."
     --Japan's consumer prices are expected to continue improving. But the
recent movements "have been weak and unstable. It is projected that achieving 2%
inflation will take some time."
     --"It is important to consider in a flexible manner such factors as the
range of yield movement and the target maturity of Japan Government Bonds in
conducting yield curve control, while maintaining the framework of monetary
     --"Since regional financial institutions have increased relatively
high-risk loans such as those to mid-risk firms amid the decreasing trend of
lending rates, their profits could worsen faster if the economy moves into a
downturn and credit costs increase. These points warrant careful attention."
     --As a policy tool for addressing the problem of a decline in the
functioning of financial intermediation, the importance of policy prudence
should not be overlooked, although some suggest focusing on such monetary policy
factors as changing the target level of interest rates.
     --"There is also possibility that the degree of transmission from the
output gap to prices has weakened. In this situation, the transmission channel
of inflation through the adaptive formation mechanism may take longer to fully
start working."
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email:
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email:

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