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MNI POLICY: Little Data, Virus May Cut BOJ June Meet To 1 Day
--With Whole Q2 Data In Focus For Policymakers, June Too Early To See
By Hiroshi Inoue
TOKYO (MNI) - With little in the way of fresh hard economic data expected
in coming weeks and the Covid-19 pandemic still a threat to health, the Bank of
Japan may follow the April lead and trim its mid-June meet to a single day, MNI
understands.
If the BOJ does drop an day and follows precedent in announcing the move,
it will use June 11, the first day of the black-out period to do so -- it
dropped a day from the April meeting, announcing on black-out day 1.
The only data for policymakers in June will refer to April -- largely
historical data in the scheme of things or financial markets - and it has
already been written off as disastrously bad.
The BOJ is looking closely at the whole of Q2 and hopes data for the next
few weeks will give a greater understanding of the uncertainties surrounding the
economy, with particular focus on how sentiment Is holding up at firms and
businesses, but that data won't be available to the Board in mid-June.
The BOJ will review its medium-term outlook at the July meeting after
examining the above factors, which will come into view in July.
As of now, BOJ officials see downside risks as the country emerges from the
lockdown rules, with unknown risks surrounding the virus and future
restrictions, although they still see a recovery starting in the second half of
the year, helped by a slowdown in the virus and the volume of monetary and
fiscal stimulus.
--MNI Tokyo Bureau; tel: +81 90-2175-0040; email: hiroshi.inoue@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMJBJ$,M$A$$$,M$J$$$,MT$$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.