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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS – US Daily Brief 21-06-22

Executive Summary:

  • Virginia goes to the polls today for the next round of primary elections - The 2nd and 7th congressional districts are the two crucial races to watch.
  • President Biden told reporters yesterday that hoped to make a final decision on supporting a federal gas tax holiday by the end of the week. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) has opposed the measure since it was first touted in March and a Congressional research report concluded: “It is not clear what authorities belonging to the Secretary of the Treasury are intended to be deployed under the bills to ensure that consumers receive the benefit of the tax reduction.”
  • Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen announced two collaborations with Ottawa, speaking alongside Canadian Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, in Toronto yesterday.
  • Biden ruled out a stopover in Ukraine as the President prepares for a second Euro trip for G7 and NATO summits - although that should be caveated with reference to a White House statement advising that any presidential trip to Ukraine would not be announced ahead of time for security reasons.
  • 13:00 ET 18:00 BST: The January 6 select committee meets for a fourth session today, this time focusing on former President Donald Trump’s alleged attempts to pressure state officials to overturn the 2020 election.
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke with Colombian President-Elect Gustavo Petro yesterday to congratulate the former mayor of Bogota on his election victory.
  • More Supreme Court rulings are expected today at the wait continues for the Supreme Court ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson - the Mississippi abortion case which may roll back the protections of Roe vs Wade.
  • Poll of the Day: Donald Trump may not be quite as popular with Hispanic voters as many analysts assume.

Chart 1: View of national political figures (Economist-YouGov)



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