MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 27-03-23

Executive Summary:

• USTR Katherine Tai has faced sharp questioning from the GOP over the use of “executive agreements” to bypass Congressional approval for tariff changes.
• House Republicans will bring their flagship energy package to the floor this week and, although Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has indicated the package will be blocked by the Senate, there are several items which may have enough bipartisan support to force Schumer’s arm.
• The Senate will vote this week on establishing a special inspector general to oversee US aid to Ukraine.
• A Manhattan grand jury will meet this week for further deliberations on the former President Donald Trump "hush-money" case.
• Rep Ro Khanna (D-CA) has announced that he will not run for the Senate seat of outgoing California Senator Dianne Feinstein (D-CA).
• Senate Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) has formally announced that she will run for re-election in 2024.
• Republican polling in Iowa and New Hampshire points to a closer Republican primary between Trump and Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL) than national polling suggests.
• The Pentagon says it sees no indication that Russia is preparing to use a nuclear weapon.
• The White House has issued a sharp criticism of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s planned judicial overhaul.
• Poll of the Day: US voter support for government bailouts of financial institutions has increased over time.

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MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 27-03-23 .pdf