July 01, 2024 12:00 GMT
MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - Week Ahead 01-07 July
UK PM Sunak's Conservatives face prospect of historic defeat in 4 July election; right-wing National Rally look to build on momentum in second round of French assembly election; SCOTUS likely to deliver ruling on Trump immunity from prosecution; SCO leaders meet in Kazakhstan
(MNI) London – All timings subject to change.
Monday 01 July:
- United States: The Supreme Court could issue its ruling on former President Donald Trump’s claim of immunity from prosecution with regards to alleged attempts to overturn the 2020 election. The extension of the court’s term by a day into July is a rarity and has raised expectations that the contentious ruling will be delivered with the nine justices then rising for the summer recess. As The Guardian notes, “Regardless of what the supreme court’s decision on the case is, its handling of the case’s timeline has significantly decreased the chances of Trump standing trial before the 2024 presidential elections in November.”
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