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MNI POLITICAL RISK - Blinken Faces Uphill Battle In China

Executive Summary:

  • Expectations are being managed ahead of Secretary of State Antony Blinken's key trip to China. US officials hope Blinken’s can prise the door open for the resumption of regular cabinet-level interactions and establish guardrails to prevent military miscalculations, but Beijing does not appear sold on the differences between "derisking" and "decoupling."
  • US Trade Rep Katherine Tai will argue against the need to free trade agreements in a major policy speech today.
  • The House Appropriations Committee offered a preview of a challenging summer of negotiations over spending yesterday.
  • A Supreme Court ruling on President Biden’s student loan relief programme could come as soon as today.
  • F-16s and Leopard tanks are on the agenda when US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin hosts another meeting of the Ukraine Contact Group today.
  • Multiple news outlets are continuing to report that indirect nuclear discussions are underway between the US and Iran despite denials from the State Department.
  • The US is not considering a deal with India to remove tariffs ahead of Prime Minister Narendra Modi's state visit.
  • Poll of the Day: President Biden has the edge over former President Trump in a hypothetical 2024 contest.

Please find the full article attached below:

MNI POLITICAL RISK ANALYSIS - US Daily Brief 15-06-23 .pdf


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