MNI BRIEF: BOJ Tankan: Business Inflation Expectations Solid

MNI BRIEF: RBA Details Hypothetical Monetary Policy Paths

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY14.2 Bln via OMO Friday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1876 Fri; -1.22% Y/Y

MNI BOJ DEC TANKAN LARGE MFG INDEX +14; SEPT 13; MEDIAN +12

MNI INTERVIEW2: Poland To Push For EU Defence Fund

MNI: UK DEC GFK CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX -17

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Belgium ORI Facility on Friday

US EIA:NAT GAS STORAGE -190 BCF TO 3,747 BCF DEC 06 WK

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

© 1982-2024 MNI. All rights reserved.
Terms | Privacy
Log Out
Free Trial

MNI POLITICAL RISK - Race Deadlocked Despite Trump Momentum

Daily round-up of news from the US.
EM BulletHomepagemarkets-real-timePolitical RiskCommoditiesPolitical Risk BulletPower BulletsStoryEnergy BulletsBulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets

Executive summary:

  • Former President Donald Trump has overtaken Vice President Kamala Harris according to most of the major presidential election forecast models.
  • The New York Times national polling average has tightened to a single percentage-point lead for Harris. Such a narrow lead is likely to worry Democrats, who fear a repeat of Trump’s Electoral College advantage and fear that a polling miss is more likely to benefit Trump than Harris. 
  • Campaign financing records show that Harris raised USD$1B faster than any other presidential candidate in history.
  • Republicans lead in statewide early voting in Nevada for the first time in a presidential year since 2008.
  • Democrats’ prospects of retaining the Senate are looking even dimmer, with three races across the Midwest tightening in line with the presidential race.
  • The 2025 Congress is likely to be crypto-friendly, regardless of who controls the gavels and occupies the White House.
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in the Middle East yesterday for his 11th trip to the region since Hamas’ attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.
  • US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin confirmed to reporters yesterday that an advanced Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defence system and 100 US ground troops are now in place in Israel.
  • Poll of the Day: Trump's favourability is higher than 2020 and 2016, suggesting he could have a higher vote-share ceiling than many analysts presume. 

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief

234 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

Executive summary:

  • Former President Donald Trump has overtaken Vice President Kamala Harris according to most of the major presidential election forecast models.
  • The New York Times national polling average has tightened to a single percentage-point lead for Harris. Such a narrow lead is likely to worry Democrats, who fear a repeat of Trump’s Electoral College advantage and fear that a polling miss is more likely to benefit Trump than Harris. 
  • Campaign financing records show that Harris raised USD$1B faster than any other presidential candidate in history.
  • Republicans lead in statewide early voting in Nevada for the first time in a presidential year since 2008.
  • Democrats’ prospects of retaining the Senate are looking even dimmer, with three races across the Midwest tightening in line with the presidential race.
  • The 2025 Congress is likely to be crypto-friendly, regardless of who controls the gavels and occupies the White House.
  • US Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in the Middle East yesterday for his 11th trip to the region since Hamas’ attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.
  • US Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin confirmed to reporters yesterday that an advanced Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defence system and 100 US ground troops are now in place in Israel.
  • Poll of the Day: Trump's favourability is higher than 2020 and 2016, suggesting he could have a higher vote-share ceiling than many analysts presume. 

Please find the full article attached below: US Daily Brief