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MNI REALITY CHECK: Canada Faces CAD 1.3B Weekly Wage Loss

--One-Quarter of Workforce In Low-Paid Industries
By Anahita Alinejad
     OTTAWA (MNI) - Canadian employees in industries dominated by hourly work
could face CAD 1.3 billion a week in lost wages on coronavirus shutdowns, MNI
calculations show.
     Sales, culture and recreation workers earned an average CAD 2.6 billion in
wages a week in March 2019 according to MNI calculations using Statistics Canada
figures. If those paychecks are cut in half by shutdowns and health warnings
that would come to CAD 1.3 billion for those two industries alone. 
     Major banks have also cut back regular hours and declines in construction
and manufacturing as health officials discourage gatherings would push the
weekly total up even more.
     Companies saying they would curb hours on Tuesday alone included Claire's
jewelry, Second Cup Coffee, Ontario liquor stores, Tim Hortons donut shops and
the Harvey's burger chain. That morning Doug Ford, premier of Canada's most
populous province of Ontario, declared a state of emergency allowing him to
close bars and restaurants just before St. Patrick's Day drinking began.
     One in five companies have started layoffs and 43% have reduced hours
according to the Canadian Federation of Independent Business that represents
small employers. 
     The Conference board of Canada says employment will fall by 29,000 in the
second quarter and the jobless rate will climb to 6% from 5.7% in the first
quarter. 
     Prime Minister Justin Trudeau on Wednesday offered up to CAD 27 billion in
direct payments to workers and business. Some CAD 3.8 billion of that is for a
temporary business wage subsidy. Another CAD 5 billion is for displaced workers
who don't qualify for regular jobless benefits, and CAD 10 billion is for people
without paid sick leave caring for relatives or children amid school closures. 
     The wage subsidy "needs to be far higher in order to help - closer to the
75-90% levels announced in many European countries," Dan Kelly, president of the
business federation, said in a statement Wednesday. 
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; +1 613 981-1671; email: anahita.alinejad.ext@marketnews.com
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