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Free AccessMNI Survey Of China Economic Forecasts
BEIJING (MNI) - All figures y/y percentage change unless otherwise
specified.
New Loans TSF
M2 July July
End-July CNY Bln CNY Bln
-------------------------------------------------------
Median 9.5 800 1075
High 10.0 1100 1200
Low 9.2 529 650
Mean 9.5 795.6 997
No. 19 19 9
Previous 9.4 1540 1780
BAML 9.5 780 1050
Bank of China 9.6 950 na
Bank of Comm 9.7 800 na
CICC 10.0 600-700 1000-1100
CITIC Sec 9.6-9.8 600-700 na
Commerzbank 9.4 529 na
Guotai Junan Securities 9.6 800 1200
Huachuang Sec 9.4 800 na
Huarong Sec 9.6 800 1200
Huatai Sec 9.5 900 1100
Industrial Bank 9.3 550 650
ING 9.2 1100 na
Merchants Sec 9.3 800 na
Mizuho 9.4 900 na
Nomura 9.6 850 870
Shanghai Securities 9.4 600 na
Shenwan Hongyuan 9.4 900 1100
Standard
Chartered 9.3 766 806
UBS 9.6 700 na
Investment Output Retail Sales
Jan-July July July
---------------------------------------------------------
Median 8.6 7.0 10.7
High 9.3 7.8 11.5
Low 8.4 6.5 10.6
Mean 8.6 7.0 10.9
No. 19 18 19
Previous 8.6 7.6 11.0
BAML 8.6 6.9 10.7
Bank of China 8.6 7.3 11.0
Bank of Communications 8.4 6.5 10.7
CICC 8.5 7.0 10.7
CITIC Sec 8.6 7.2 10.7
Commerzbank 8.6 6.8 10.7
Guotai Junan Securities 9.0 7.0 11.3
Huachuang Sec 8.5 6.7 10.7
Huarong Sec 9.0 7.0 11.3
Huatai Sec 8.7 7.0 10.6
Industrial Bank 8.4 6.9 10.8
ING 8.5 7.8 11.5
Merchants Sec 8.4 7.2 10.8
Mizuho 8.6 na 11.0
Nomura 8.5 7.0 10.7
Shanghai Securities 9.3 7.0 10.6
Shenwan Hongyuan 8.6 6.8 10.8
Standard
Chartered 8.7 6.8 10.7
UBS 8.7 7.3 11.0
Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
The Q2 GDP, industrial output, retail sales and fixed-asset investment due
for release at 1000 local/0200 GMT on Aug 14.
No scheduled release time for July money supply, bank loans and total
social financing.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: iris.ouyang@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.