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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Dec 19 - Dec 21

                       Dec 19    Dec 19    Dec 20     Dec 21    Dec 21   Dec 21
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                                         Existing    Initial  Phil Fed
                      Housing  Building      Home    Jobless       Mfg  Leading
                       Starts   Permits     Sales     Claims    Survey    Index
Data For                  Nov       Nov       Nov  Dec 16 wk       Dec      Nov
Denomination                M         M         M          K     Index
Median Forecast **      1.250     1.273      5.51        235      22.0      0.4
High Forecast           1.337     1.290      5.60        240      24.7      0.4
Low Forecast            1.200     1.250      5.40        230      20.0      0.3
Mean                    1.250     1.271      5.51        234      22.0      0.4
Standard Deviation        0.0       0.0       0.1        3.9       1.5      0.0
No. of Responses           17         8        18          8         9        6
Amherst Pierpont        1.250        NA      5.52        240        NA       NA
BofA/Merrill Lynch         NA        NA      5.40         NA        NA       NA
Bank of the West        1.252     1.265      5.44         NA      20.5      0.4
Barclays Capital        1.245        NA      5.50        230      22.0       NA
BMO                     1.250     1.280      5.55         NA        NA      0.3
BNP Paribas             1.225        NA      5.50        240      23.0       NA
Capital Economics       1.200        NA      5.50         NA      20.0       NA
CIBC                    1.265     1.280      5.59         NA        NA       NA
Comerica Bank           1.220     1.250      5.52         NA        NA      0.4
Credit Suisse           1.280        NA      5.45         NA        NA       NA
FT Advisors             1.235        NA      5.51        235      24.7       NA
Goldman Sachs              NA        NA        NA        230      20.5       NA
Morgan Stanley          1.337        NA      5.53         NA        NA      0.4
Natwest                 1.260        NA      5.48        235        NA       NA
Nomura                  1.226     1.290      5.45         NA      24.0       NA
NTL Bank Canada         1.270     1.280      5.57         NA        NA       NA
SocGen                  1.240        NA      5.60         NA        NA       NA
TD Securities              NA        NA        NA         NA        NA       NA
UBS                     1.260     1.260      5.52        230      22.0      0.4
UMaryland               1.230     1.265      5.48        235      21.5      0.3
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]

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