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MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Feb 21

                       Feb 21       Feb 21    Feb 21   Feb 21   Feb 21    Feb 21
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  Phil Fed
                      Initial          Mfg  Existing           Durable   Durable
                      Jobless          Mfg      Home  Leading    Goods     Goods
                       Claims       Survey     Sales    Index   orders  Ex-Trans
                       Feb 16
Data For                   wk          Feb       Jan      Jan      Dec       Dec
Denomination                K        Index         M    Index     % Ch      % Ch
Median Forecast
**                        229         14.0      4.98      0.2      2.0       0.2
High Forecast             237         18.0      5.20      0.3      3.9       1.8
Low Forecast              220         12.0      4.90     -0.1      0.4      -0.7
Mean                      229         15.1      4.99      0.1      2.0       0.3
Standard
Deviation                 5.2          1.9       0.1      0.1      0.9       0.6
No. of Responses            8           11        13        7       23        21
Amherst Pierpont        227.0           NA      4.95      0.2      1.6       0.8
ANZ                        NA           NA        NA       NA       NA        NA
BofA/Merrill
Lynch                      NA           NA        NA       NA       NA        NA
Bank of the West           NA           NA        NA       NA       NA        NA
Barclays Capital           NA           NA        NA       NA       NA       0.5
BAML                    230.0         14.0      5.05      0.2       NA        NA
Bayerische
Landesbank                 NA         16.0        NA       NA      0.8       0.0
BBVA                       NA           NA        NA       NA      2.5       1.5
BMO                        NA         14.0      4.97      0.1      1.0       0.4
Capital Economics          NA           NA        NA       NA      2.5       0.2
CIBC                       NA           NA        NA       NA      0.8       0.1
Citigroup                  NA           NA        NA       NA      1.7       0.3
Commerzbank               220         18.0      4.90       NA      2.5       0.3
Credit Suisse              NA           NA        NA       NA      1.5      -0.2
Deka                       NA         18.0      4.90       NA      3.0      -0.1
Deutsche Bank              NA         12.0      5.00      0.3      2.9       1.8
Goldman Sachs           225.0         14.0      4.99       NA      3.0       0.0
HSBC                    237.0         16.0      4.90       NA      0.7      -0.3
ING Group                  NA           NA      5.20       NA      2.4       0.4
Intesa Sanpaolo            NA           NA        NA       NA      1.5       0.1
J.P. Morgan                NA           NA        NA       NA      1.5      -0.7
Morgan Stanley             NA           NA      4.90     -0.1      3.9       0.8
Natwest                 230.0           NA      5.10       NA      2.0        NA
Standard
Chartered                  NA         13.3        NA      0.2      1.7        NA
TD Securities              NA           NA        NA       NA      2.2       0.1
UBS                     225.0         17.0      4.98       NA      0.4       0.3
Umaryland               235.0         14.0      5.07      0.1      2.5        NA
Wells Fargo                NA           NA        NA       NA      3.5       0.0
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$]

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