MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Jan 3 - Jan 4

                          Jan 3   Jan 3     Jan 3     Jan 4     Jan 4     Jan 4

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        Initial

                        Jobless     ISM    Constr   Nonfarm   Private  Unemploy

                         Claims  Manufg  Spending  Payrolls  Payrolls      Rate

Data For              Dec 29 wk     Dec       Nov       Dec       Dec       Dec

Denomination                  K   Index      % Ch         K         K         %

Median Forecast **          220    58.0       0.3       180       175       3.7

High Forecast               220    58.3       0.5       200       195       3.8

Low Forecast                215    56.5       0.0       166       162       3.6

Mean                        218    57.7       0.3       183       179       3.7

Standard Deviation          2.4     0.6       0.2        10        12       0.1

No. of Responses              3       9         5        10         5         8

Amherst Pierpont            220    58.3        NA       200       195       3.6

BMO                          NA    58.3       0.4       190        NA       3.7

Capital Economics            NA    57.5        NA       180        NA       3.6

CIBC                         NA      NA        NA        NA        NA        NA

Deutsche Bank                NA    58.0       0.5       175       175       3.6

Goldman Sachs               220    57.0       0.3       195       190       3.7

Natwest                      NA    58.2        NA       175        NA       3.6

SocGen                       NA      NA        NA       180        NA        NA

TD Securities                NA    57.3        NA       190        NA        NA

UBS                          NA    56.5       0.0       166       162       3.8

UMaryland                   215    58.3       0.3       180       175       3.7

** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above

and is not intended to represent a market consensus.

--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com

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