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March 25, 2019 17:06 GMT
MNI Survey of US Economic Forecasts: Mar 26 - Mar 28
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT Mar 25/17:06 EST Mar 25
Mar 26 Mar 26 Mar 26 Mar 27 Mar 27 Mar 28
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Housing Building Consumer Trade Current Real
Starts Permits Conf Balance Account GDP
Data For Feb Feb Mar Jan 4Q 4Q (r)
Denomination M M Index B B % Ch
Median Forecast ** 1.205 1.300 133.0 -57.5 -132.3 2.3
High Forecast 1.330 1.350 136.5 -55.0 -128.0 2.6
Low Forecast 1.130 1.270 129.0 -60.6 -135.0 1.8
Mean 1.208 1.306 133.1 -57.5 -131.9 2.3
Standard Deviation 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.2 2.1 0.2
No. of Responses 18 11 17 16 6 16
Amherst Pierpont 1.220 NA 134.5 -60.6 NA 2.3
BofA/Merrill Lynch 1.240 1.270 132.0 -57.8 -131.0 2.1
BMO 1.190 1.300 131.8 -57.0 -132.1 2.0
Capital Economics 1.130 NA 133.0 -57.0 NA 2.2
CIBC 1.192 1.295 133.4 -58.2 NA 2.5
Commerzbank 1.250 1.300 129.0 -58.0 NA 2.4
Credit Suisse 1.250 NA 132.5 -57.5 NA NA
Deutsche Bank 1.250 1.350 NA -57.0 NA 2.6
Goldman Sachs 1.230 NA 133.0 -57.0 NA 2.1
HSBC 1.215 1.300 130.0 -57.0 -132.6 2.4
Lloyds Bank 1.182 1.320 132.0 -57.5 -128.0 2.5
Morgan Stanley 1.210 1.320 136.1 NA NA NA
Natwest 1.190 NA 133.0 NA NA 2.3
Nomura 1.141 1.310 134.0 -55.0 NA 1.8
RBC 1.330 NA 134.0 -56.0 NA 2.4
SocGen 1.190 NA 136.5 NA NA NA
TD Securities NA NA NA NA NA NA
UBS 1.140 1.310 135.0 -58.7 -135.0 1.9
Umaryland 1.200 1.290 133.0 -57.7 -132.5 2.2
Wells Fargo NA NA NA -58.4 NA 2.4
** Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
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Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
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