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MNI TRANSCRIPT: Powell on Overall Economy

     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following is the portion of a transcript from
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference after the FOMC meeting
Wednesday:
     Q: Can you give us more texture on what the strongest or most important
base is for feeling that you have now taken out adequate insurance. Is the
response you are seeing in housing and other parts of the economy arguably to
the cuts made so far. Is it the fact that the risk environment out there
globally is shifted a bit and abated a bit? Or is it something different in the
financial markets the fact that the yield curve has righted itself?
     A: Honestly there isn't one factor. It is the whole range of economic data
and also what we see as about our stance of policy which we believe is the
appropriate stance. It is really both of those things. If you look at the
performance of the economy through this, the consumer sector has been quite
resilient. Witnessed today's GDP report. And it is just again all -- all the
things that I went through earlier suggest that sector continues to be strong.
We know that the manufacturing investment trade export sector is -- has been
weak. That continues but nonetheless overall we have an economy that is showing
moderate growth and we think that today's say we are not 1.5 to 1.75%, that we
believe is accommodative level and a level that will support that outlook that
we have.
     Q: Follow-up, that this is kind of a one legged recovery, that unless you
get some impetus from other things, exports, investment that it is going to
weaken further at some point?
     A: We don't see any evidence of that. What we see is the that the consumer
sector continues strong again low initial claims. It is all -- the day we
monitor very broad range of data. We also see now I think more clearly the
affects of more accommodative monetary policy on various kinds of consumer
activity. You are seeing strong durable goods sales and seeing housing now
contributing to growth for the first time in awhile. Two tenths I think this
quarter and you are seeing -- you are seeing retail sales. Retail sales number,
PCE number as I mentioned in today' release is 2.9%. More broadly money tore
policy is supporting household spending and home buying by keeping the labor
market strong and worker's income rising and consumer confidence at high levels
where it currently is.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202 371 2121; email: brooke.migdon@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMUFE$,M$U$$$]

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