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Modest Cooling In Fed Rate Path Ahead Of Powell

STIR FUTURES
  • Fed Funds implied hikes have drifted lower overnight to chip away at yesterday’s potential ECB-related increase.
  • 30.5bp for Mar (-0.5bp), cumulative 60bp for May (-0.5bp), 89bp to 5.47% terminal in Sep (-1bp) before 14bp of cuts to 5.33% year-end (-1.5bp). The terminal and year-end remain near levels after the latest step higher from the surprising strength of ISM prices paid, and with the terminal not far off Thursday highs of 5.51%.
  • Powell in focus, due to start with the Senate at 1000ET but no set time to potential pre-release of remarks.


Source: Bloomberg


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